Inari Medical Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 48.99
| NARI Stock | USD 49.66 0.09 0.18% |
Inari |
Inari Medical Target Price Odds to finish over 48.99
The tendency of Inari Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 48.99 in 90 days |
| 49.66 | 90 days | 48.99 | about 14.79 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Inari Medical to stay above $ 48.99 in 90 days from now is about 14.79 (This Inari Medical probability density function shows the probability of Inari Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Inari Medical price to stay between $ 48.99 and its current price of $49.66 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Inari Medical has a beta of 0.19. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Inari Medical average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Inari Medical will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Inari Medical has an alpha of 0.1543, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Inari Medical Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Inari Medical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Inari Medical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Inari Medical Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Inari Medical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Inari Medical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Inari Medical, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Inari Medical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.53 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Inari Medical Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Inari Medical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Inari Medical can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Inari Medical had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 493.63 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.64 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 338.96 M. | |
| Inari Medical has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Inari Medical Inc Shares Down 4.67 percent on Nov 20 |
Inari Medical Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Inari Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Inari Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Inari Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 56.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 115.5 M |
Inari Medical Technical Analysis
Inari Medical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Inari Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Inari Medical. In general, you should focus on analyzing Inari Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Inari Medical Predictive Forecast Models
Inari Medical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Inari Medical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Inari Medical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Inari Medical
Checking the ongoing alerts about Inari Medical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Inari Medical help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Inari Medical had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 493.63 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.64 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 338.96 M. | |
| Inari Medical has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Inari Medical Inc Shares Down 4.67 percent on Nov 20 |
Check out Inari Medical Backtesting, Inari Medical Valuation, Inari Medical Correlation, Inari Medical Hype Analysis, Inari Medical Volatility, Inari Medical History as well as Inari Medical Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Inari Stock please use our How to Invest in Inari Medical guide.You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Inari Medical. If investors know Inari will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Inari Medical listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.84) | Earnings Share (1.35) | Revenue Per Share 9.901 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.214 | Return On Assets (0.03) |
The market value of Inari Medical is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Inari that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Inari Medical's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Inari Medical's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Inari Medical's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Inari Medical's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Inari Medical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Inari Medical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Inari Medical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.