MENSCH UND (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 51.3
| MUM Stock | EUR 50.50 0.50 0.98% |
MENSCH |
MENSCH UND Target Price Odds to finish over 51.3
The tendency of MENSCH Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 51.30 or more in 90 days |
| 50.50 | 90 days | 51.30 | about 99.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MENSCH UND to move over € 51.30 or more in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This MENSCH UND MASCHINE probability density function shows the probability of MENSCH Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MENSCH UND MASCHINE price to stay between its current price of € 50.50 and € 51.30 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.17 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MENSCH UND MASCHINE has a beta of -0.0755. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding MENSCH UND are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, MENSCH UND MASCHINE is likely to outperform the market. Additionally MENSCH UND MASCHINE has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. MENSCH UND Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for MENSCH UND
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MENSCH UND MASCHINE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MENSCH UND Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MENSCH UND is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MENSCH UND's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MENSCH UND MASCHINE, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MENSCH UND within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.43 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
MENSCH UND Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MENSCH UND for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MENSCH UND MASCHINE can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MENSCH UND MASCHINE generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
MENSCH UND Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MENSCH Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MENSCH UND's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MENSCH UND's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 17 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 16.8 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 3.1 M |
MENSCH UND Technical Analysis
MENSCH UND's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MENSCH Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MENSCH UND MASCHINE. In general, you should focus on analyzing MENSCH Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
MENSCH UND Predictive Forecast Models
MENSCH UND's time-series forecasting models is one of many MENSCH UND's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MENSCH UND's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about MENSCH UND MASCHINE
Checking the ongoing alerts about MENSCH UND for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MENSCH UND MASCHINE help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| MENSCH UND MASCHINE generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in MENSCH Stock
MENSCH UND financial ratios help investors to determine whether MENSCH Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MENSCH with respect to the benefits of owning MENSCH UND security.