Inventrust Properties Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 24.41
| IVT Stock | USD 29.42 0.45 1.51% |
Closest to current price Inventrust long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Inventrust |
Inventrust Properties Target Price Odds to finish over 24.41
The tendency of Inventrust Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 24.41 in 90 days |
| 29.42 | 90 days | 24.41 | more than 93.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Inventrust Properties to stay above $ 24.41 in 90 days from now is more than 93.0 (This Inventrust Properties Corp probability density function shows the probability of Inventrust Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Inventrust Properties price to stay between $ 24.41 and its current price of $29.42 at the end of the 90-day period is about 80.53 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Inventrust Properties has a beta of 0.79. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Inventrust Properties average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Inventrust Properties Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Inventrust Properties Corp has an alpha of 0.1981, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Inventrust Properties Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Inventrust Properties
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Inventrust Properties. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Inventrust Properties' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Inventrust Properties Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Inventrust Properties is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Inventrust Properties' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Inventrust Properties Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Inventrust Properties within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.79 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.90 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
Inventrust Properties Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Inventrust Properties for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Inventrust Properties can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 66.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 2217 shares by Michael Phillips of Inventrust Properties subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Inventrust Properties Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Inventrust Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Inventrust Properties' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Inventrust Properties' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 67.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 99.8 M |
Inventrust Properties Technical Analysis
Inventrust Properties' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Inventrust Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Inventrust Properties Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Inventrust Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Inventrust Properties Predictive Forecast Models
Inventrust Properties' time-series forecasting models is one of many Inventrust Properties' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Inventrust Properties' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Inventrust Properties
Checking the ongoing alerts about Inventrust Properties for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Inventrust Properties help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 66.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 2217 shares by Michael Phillips of Inventrust Properties subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Additional Tools for Inventrust Stock Analysis
When running Inventrust Properties' price analysis, check to measure Inventrust Properties' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Inventrust Properties is operating at the current time. Most of Inventrust Properties' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Inventrust Properties' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Inventrust Properties' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Inventrust Properties to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.