Gartner Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 513.59
| IT Stock | USD 513.59 0.17 0.03% |
Closest to current price Gartner long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Gartner |
Gartner Target Price Odds to finish below 513.59
The tendency of Gartner Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 513.59 | 90 days | 513.59 | about 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gartner to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This Gartner probability density function shows the probability of Gartner Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.28 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Gartner will likely underperform. Additionally Gartner has an alpha of 0.0672, implying that it can generate a 0.0672 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Gartner Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Gartner
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gartner. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gartner's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Gartner Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gartner is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gartner's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gartner, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gartner within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 20.44 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Gartner Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gartner for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gartner can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Gartner is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Gartner reports 3.07 B of total liabilities. Gartner has a current ratio of 0.61, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Gartner to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Gartner has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: Uniphore stellt X-Stream vor, um die digitale Transformation von Unternehmen mit Knowledge-as-a-Service zu revolutionieren |
Gartner Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gartner Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gartner's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gartner's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 79.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.3 B |
Gartner Technical Analysis
Gartner's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gartner Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gartner. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gartner Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Gartner Predictive Forecast Models
Gartner's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gartner's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gartner's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Gartner
Checking the ongoing alerts about Gartner for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gartner help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Gartner is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Gartner reports 3.07 B of total liabilities. Gartner has a current ratio of 0.61, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Gartner to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Gartner has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: Uniphore stellt X-Stream vor, um die digitale Transformation von Unternehmen mit Knowledge-as-a-Service zu revolutionieren |
Additional Tools for Gartner Stock Analysis
When running Gartner's price analysis, check to measure Gartner's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gartner is operating at the current time. Most of Gartner's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gartner's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gartner's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gartner to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.