Intellego Technologies (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 86.50

INT Stock   86.50  0.40  0.46%   
Intellego Technologies' future price is the expected price of Intellego Technologies instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Intellego Technologies AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Intellego Technologies Backtesting, Intellego Technologies Valuation, Intellego Technologies Correlation, Intellego Technologies Hype Analysis, Intellego Technologies Volatility, Intellego Technologies History as well as Intellego Technologies Performance.
  
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Intellego Technologies Target Price Odds to finish over 86.50

The tendency of Intellego Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 86.50 90 days 86.50 
under 95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Intellego Technologies to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 95 (This Intellego Technologies AB probability density function shows the probability of Intellego Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Intellego Technologies AB has a beta of -0.37. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Intellego Technologies are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Intellego Technologies AB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Intellego Technologies AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Intellego Technologies Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Intellego Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intellego Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
78.4986.5094.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
75.0383.0491.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
89.1597.16105.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
54.97106.12157.28
Details

Intellego Technologies Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Intellego Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Intellego Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Intellego Technologies AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Intellego Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.2
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.37
σ
Overall volatility
34.54
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Intellego Technologies Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Intellego Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Intellego Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Intellego Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Intellego Technologies has high historical volatility and very poor performance

Intellego Technologies Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Intellego Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Intellego Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Intellego Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding120.5 M
Dividends Paid1.6 B
Cash And Short Term Investments3.5 B
Shares Float18.4 M

Intellego Technologies Technical Analysis

Intellego Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Intellego Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Intellego Technologies AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Intellego Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Intellego Technologies Predictive Forecast Models

Intellego Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Intellego Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Intellego Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Intellego Technologies

Checking the ongoing alerts about Intellego Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Intellego Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Intellego Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Intellego Technologies has high historical volatility and very poor performance

Additional Tools for Intellego Stock Analysis

When running Intellego Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Intellego Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Intellego Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Intellego Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Intellego Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Intellego Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Intellego Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.