Intermediate Bond Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 12.51
| IBFCX Fund | USD 12.59 0.01 0.08% |
INTERMEDIATE |
Intermediate Bond Target Price Odds to finish over 12.51
The tendency of INTERMEDIATE Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 12.51 in 90 days |
| 12.59 | 90 days | 12.51 | about 66.59 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Intermediate Bond to stay above $ 12.51 in 90 days from now is about 66.59 (This Intermediate Bond Fund probability density function shows the probability of INTERMEDIATE Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Intermediate Bond price to stay between $ 12.51 and its current price of $12.59 at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.27 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Intermediate Bond Fund has a beta of -0.0391. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Intermediate Bond are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Intermediate Bond Fund is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Intermediate Bond Fund has an alpha of 0.0261, implying that it can generate a 0.0261 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Intermediate Bond Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Intermediate Bond
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intermediate Bond. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Intermediate Bond's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intermediate Bond Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Intermediate Bond is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Intermediate Bond's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Intermediate Bond Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Intermediate Bond within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.38 |
Intermediate Bond Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Intermediate Bond for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Intermediate Bond can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund generated three year return of -1.0% | |
| Intermediate Bond retains about 7.74% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities |
Intermediate Bond Technical Analysis
Intermediate Bond's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. INTERMEDIATE Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Intermediate Bond Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing INTERMEDIATE Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Intermediate Bond Predictive Forecast Models
Intermediate Bond's time-series forecasting models is one of many Intermediate Bond's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Intermediate Bond's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Intermediate Bond
Checking the ongoing alerts about Intermediate Bond for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Intermediate Bond help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund generated three year return of -1.0% | |
| Intermediate Bond retains about 7.74% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities |
Other Information on Investing in INTERMEDIATE Mutual Fund
Intermediate Bond financial ratios help investors to determine whether INTERMEDIATE Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in INTERMEDIATE with respect to the benefits of owning Intermediate Bond security.
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