Integra Lifesciences Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 21.80

IART Stock  USD 21.80  0.09  0.41%   
Integra LifeSciences' future price is the expected price of Integra LifeSciences instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Integra LifeSciences Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Integra LifeSciences Backtesting, Integra LifeSciences Valuation, Integra LifeSciences Correlation, Integra LifeSciences Hype Analysis, Integra LifeSciences Volatility, Integra LifeSciences History as well as Integra LifeSciences Performance.
  
At this time, Integra LifeSciences' Price Fair Value is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Please specify Integra LifeSciences' target price for which you would like Integra LifeSciences odds to be computed.

Integra LifeSciences Target Price Odds to finish over 21.80

The tendency of Integra Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 21.80 90 days 21.80 
about 42.77
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Integra LifeSciences to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 42.77 (This Integra LifeSciences Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Integra Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.14 . This usually indicates Integra LifeSciences Holdings market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Integra LifeSciences is expected to follow. Additionally Integra LifeSciences Holdings has an alpha of 0.3693, implying that it can generate a 0.37 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Integra LifeSciences Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Integra LifeSciences

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Integra LifeSciences. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.8321.8025.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.6229.0633.03
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.4421.4125.37
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
42.6746.8952.05
Details

Integra LifeSciences Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Integra LifeSciences is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Integra LifeSciences' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Integra LifeSciences Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Integra LifeSciences within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.37
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.14
σ
Overall volatility
2.91
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Integra LifeSciences Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Integra LifeSciences for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Integra LifeSciences can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Integra LifeSciences had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Integra LifeSciences has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from bizjournals.com: Integra Community Care sues CMS over Medicare program denial

Integra LifeSciences Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Integra Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Integra LifeSciences' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Integra LifeSciences' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding80.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments309.1 M

Integra LifeSciences Technical Analysis

Integra LifeSciences' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Integra Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Integra LifeSciences Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Integra Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Integra LifeSciences Predictive Forecast Models

Integra LifeSciences' time-series forecasting models is one of many Integra LifeSciences' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Integra LifeSciences' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Integra LifeSciences

Checking the ongoing alerts about Integra LifeSciences for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Integra LifeSciences help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Integra LifeSciences had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Integra LifeSciences has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from bizjournals.com: Integra Community Care sues CMS over Medicare program denial

Additional Tools for Integra Stock Analysis

When running Integra LifeSciences' price analysis, check to measure Integra LifeSciences' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Integra LifeSciences is operating at the current time. Most of Integra LifeSciences' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Integra LifeSciences' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Integra LifeSciences' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Integra LifeSciences to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.