Graniteshares Hips High Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 12.91

HIPS Etf  USD 13.13  0.05  0.38%   
GraniteShares HIPS's future price is the expected price of GraniteShares HIPS instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of GraniteShares HIPS High performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out GraniteShares HIPS Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, GraniteShares HIPS Correlation, GraniteShares HIPS Hype Analysis, GraniteShares HIPS Volatility, GraniteShares HIPS History as well as GraniteShares HIPS Performance.
  
Please specify GraniteShares HIPS's target price for which you would like GraniteShares HIPS odds to be computed.

GraniteShares HIPS Target Price Odds to finish over 12.91

The tendency of GraniteShares Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 12.91  in 90 days
 13.13 90 days 12.91 
about 23.75
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GraniteShares HIPS to stay above $ 12.91  in 90 days from now is about 23.75 (This GraniteShares HIPS High probability density function shows the probability of GraniteShares Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GraniteShares HIPS High price to stay between $ 12.91  and its current price of $13.13 at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.85 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days GraniteShares HIPS has a beta of 0.62. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, GraniteShares HIPS average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding GraniteShares HIPS High will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally GraniteShares HIPS High has an alpha of 0.0132, implying that it can generate a 0.0132 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   GraniteShares HIPS Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for GraniteShares HIPS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GraniteShares HIPS High. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GraniteShares HIPS's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.3813.1213.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.2813.0213.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.3113.0513.79
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.0713.1113.15
Details

GraniteShares HIPS Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GraniteShares HIPS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GraniteShares HIPS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GraniteShares HIPS High, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GraniteShares HIPS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.62
σ
Overall volatility
0.21
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

GraniteShares HIPS Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GraniteShares HIPS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GraniteShares HIPS High can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 15.85% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

GraniteShares HIPS Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GraniteShares Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GraniteShares HIPS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GraniteShares HIPS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

GraniteShares HIPS Technical Analysis

GraniteShares HIPS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GraniteShares Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GraniteShares HIPS High. In general, you should focus on analyzing GraniteShares Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

GraniteShares HIPS Predictive Forecast Models

GraniteShares HIPS's time-series forecasting models is one of many GraniteShares HIPS's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GraniteShares HIPS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about GraniteShares HIPS High

Checking the ongoing alerts about GraniteShares HIPS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GraniteShares HIPS High help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 15.85% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in GraniteShares Etf

When determining whether GraniteShares HIPS High is a strong investment it is important to analyze GraniteShares HIPS's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact GraniteShares HIPS's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding GraniteShares Etf, refer to the following important reports:
The market value of GraniteShares HIPS High is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of GraniteShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of GraniteShares HIPS's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is GraniteShares HIPS's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because GraniteShares HIPS's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect GraniteShares HIPS's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between GraniteShares HIPS's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GraniteShares HIPS is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GraniteShares HIPS's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.