Community Healthcare Trust Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 19.61
| CHCT Stock | USD 16.42 0.40 2.38% |
Community |
Community Healthcare Target Price Odds to finish over 19.61
The tendency of Community Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 19.61 or more in 90 days |
| 16.42 | 90 days | 19.61 | about 63.29 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Community Healthcare to move over $ 19.61 or more in 90 days from now is about 63.29 (This Community Healthcare Trust probability density function shows the probability of Community Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Community Healthcare price to stay between its current price of $ 16.42 and $ 19.61 at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.28 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.37 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Community Healthcare will likely underperform. Additionally Community Healthcare Trust has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Community Healthcare Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Community Healthcare
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Community Healthcare. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Community Healthcare's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Community Healthcare Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Community Healthcare is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Community Healthcare's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Community Healthcare Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Community Healthcare within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.6 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.27 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Community Healthcare Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Community Healthcare for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Community Healthcare can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Community Healthcare generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Community Healthcare has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Over 93.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 23rd of August 2024 Community Healthcare paid $ 0.4625 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Community Healthcare Trust Raised to Inline at Evercore ISI |
Community Healthcare Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Community Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Community Healthcare's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Community Healthcare's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 25.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.5 M |
Community Healthcare Technical Analysis
Community Healthcare's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Community Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Community Healthcare Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing Community Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Community Healthcare Predictive Forecast Models
Community Healthcare's time-series forecasting models is one of many Community Healthcare's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Community Healthcare's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Community Healthcare
Checking the ongoing alerts about Community Healthcare for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Community Healthcare help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Community Healthcare generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Community Healthcare has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Over 93.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 23rd of August 2024 Community Healthcare paid $ 0.4625 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Community Healthcare Trust Raised to Inline at Evercore ISI |
Additional Tools for Community Stock Analysis
When running Community Healthcare's price analysis, check to measure Community Healthcare's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Community Healthcare is operating at the current time. Most of Community Healthcare's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Community Healthcare's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Community Healthcare's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Community Healthcare to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.