Calamos Dynamic Convertible Fund Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 27.12
| CCD Fund | USD 23.94 0.06 0.25% |
Calamos |
Calamos Dynamic Target Price Odds to finish below 27.12
The tendency of Calamos Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 27.12 after 90 days |
| 23.94 | 90 days | 27.12 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Calamos Dynamic to stay under $ 27.12 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Calamos Dynamic Convertible probability density function shows the probability of Calamos Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Calamos Dynamic Conv price to stay between its current price of $ 23.94 and $ 27.12 at the end of the 90-day period is about 60.96 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Calamos Dynamic has a beta of 0.5 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Calamos Dynamic average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Calamos Dynamic Convertible will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Calamos Dynamic Convertible has an alpha of 0.001, implying that it can generate a 9.98E-4 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Calamos Dynamic Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Calamos Dynamic
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Calamos Dynamic Conv. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Calamos Dynamic's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Calamos Dynamic Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Calamos Dynamic is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Calamos Dynamic's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Calamos Dynamic Convertible, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Calamos Dynamic within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.001 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.50 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.79 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Calamos Dynamic Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Calamos Dynamic for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Calamos Dynamic Conv can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund generated three year return of -5.0% |
Calamos Dynamic Technical Analysis
Calamos Dynamic's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Calamos Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Calamos Dynamic Convertible. In general, you should focus on analyzing Calamos Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Calamos Dynamic Predictive Forecast Models
Calamos Dynamic's time-series forecasting models is one of many Calamos Dynamic's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Calamos Dynamic's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Calamos Dynamic Conv
Checking the ongoing alerts about Calamos Dynamic for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Calamos Dynamic Conv help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund generated three year return of -5.0% |
Other Information on Investing in Calamos Fund
Calamos Dynamic financial ratios help investors to determine whether Calamos Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Calamos with respect to the benefits of owning Calamos Dynamic security.
| Aroon Oscillator Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios | |
| Equity Forecasting Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum |