Braemar Hotel Resorts Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.53
| BHR Stock | USD 3.39 0.27 8.65% |
Braemar |
Braemar Hotel Target Price Odds to finish below 3.53
The tendency of Braemar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 3.53 after 90 days |
| 3.39 | 90 days | 3.53 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Braemar Hotel to stay under $ 3.53 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Braemar Hotel Resorts probability density function shows the probability of Braemar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Braemar Hotel Resorts price to stay between its current price of $ 3.39 and $ 3.53 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.53 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Braemar Hotel will likely underperform. Additionally Braemar Hotel Resorts has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Braemar Hotel Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Braemar Hotel
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Braemar Hotel Resorts. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Braemar Hotel Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Braemar Hotel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Braemar Hotel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Braemar Hotel Resorts, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Braemar Hotel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.53 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Braemar Hotel Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Braemar Hotel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Braemar Hotel Resorts can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the last year's revenue of 739.34 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (27.02 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 199.5 M. | |
| About 12.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 15th of October 2024 Braemar Hotel paid $ 0.05 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Braemar Hotels Resorts Inc Q3 2024 Earnings Call Highlights Navigating Challenges ... |
Braemar Hotel Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Braemar Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Braemar Hotel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Braemar Hotel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 66 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 166.5 M |
Braemar Hotel Technical Analysis
Braemar Hotel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Braemar Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Braemar Hotel Resorts. In general, you should focus on analyzing Braemar Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Braemar Hotel Predictive Forecast Models
Braemar Hotel's time-series forecasting models is one of many Braemar Hotel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Braemar Hotel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Braemar Hotel Resorts
Checking the ongoing alerts about Braemar Hotel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Braemar Hotel Resorts help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 739.34 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (27.02 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 199.5 M. | |
| About 12.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 15th of October 2024 Braemar Hotel paid $ 0.05 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Braemar Hotels Resorts Inc Q3 2024 Earnings Call Highlights Navigating Challenges ... |
Additional Tools for Braemar Stock Analysis
When running Braemar Hotel's price analysis, check to measure Braemar Hotel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Braemar Hotel is operating at the current time. Most of Braemar Hotel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Braemar Hotel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Braemar Hotel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Braemar Hotel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.