Proshares Trust Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 38.52

BETH Etf   38.52  0.84  2.13%   
ProShares Trust's future price is the expected price of ProShares Trust instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ProShares Trust performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ProShares Trust Analysis, Portfolio Optimization, ProShares Trust Correlation, ProShares Trust Hype Analysis, ProShares Trust Volatility, ProShares Trust Price History as well as ProShares Trust Performance.
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ProShares Trust Target Price Odds to finish over 38.52

The tendency of ProShares Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 38.52 90 days 38.52 
over 95.28
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ProShares Trust to move above the current price in 90 days from now is over 95.28 (This ProShares Trust probability density function shows the probability of ProShares Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days ProShares Trust has a beta of -0.13 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding ProShares Trust are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, ProShares Trust is likely to outperform the market. Additionally ProShares Trust has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   ProShares Trust Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ProShares Trust

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ProShares Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ProShares Trust's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
34.3538.2242.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
34.2738.1442.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
40.4244.2848.15
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-6.9438.0440.29
Details

ProShares Trust Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ProShares Trust is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ProShares Trust's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ProShares Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ProShares Trust within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.35
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.13
σ
Overall volatility
6.17
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

ProShares Trust Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ProShares Trust for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ProShares Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ProShares Trust generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
ProShares Trust has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Latest headline from news.google.com: Behavioral Patterns of BETH and Institutional Flows - Stock Traders Daily

ProShares Trust Technical Analysis

ProShares Trust's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ProShares Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ProShares Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing ProShares Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ProShares Trust Predictive Forecast Models

ProShares Trust's time-series forecasting models is one of many ProShares Trust's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ProShares Trust's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ProShares Trust

Checking the ongoing alerts about ProShares Trust for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ProShares Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ProShares Trust generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
ProShares Trust has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Latest headline from news.google.com: Behavioral Patterns of BETH and Institutional Flows - Stock Traders Daily
When determining whether ProShares Trust is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if ProShares Etf is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Proshares Trust Etf. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Proshares Trust Etf:
Check out ProShares Trust Analysis, Portfolio Optimization, ProShares Trust Correlation, ProShares Trust Hype Analysis, ProShares Trust Volatility, ProShares Trust Price History as well as ProShares Trust Performance.
You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
The market value of ProShares Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ProShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ProShares Trust's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ProShares Trust's true underlying value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Because ProShares Trust's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ProShares Trust's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between ProShares Trust's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding ProShares Trust should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, ProShares Trust's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.