Ainos Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.77

AIMD Stock  USD 0.48  0.01  2.04%   
Ainos' future price is the expected price of Ainos instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ainos Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ainos Backtesting, Ainos Valuation, Ainos Correlation, Ainos Hype Analysis, Ainos Volatility, Ainos History as well as Ainos Performance.
  
At present, Ainos' Price To Book Ratio is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price Fair Value is expected to grow to 0.36, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is forecasted to decline to (0.64). Please specify Ainos' target price for which you would like Ainos odds to be computed.

Ainos Target Price Odds to finish over 5.77

The tendency of Ainos Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 5.77  or more in 90 days
 0.48 90 days 5.77 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ainos to move over $ 5.77  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Ainos Inc probability density function shows the probability of Ainos Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ainos Inc price to stay between its current price of $ 0.48  and $ 5.77  at the end of the 90-day period is about 80.26 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.08 . This suggests Ainos Inc market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Ainos is expected to follow. Additionally Ainos Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Ainos Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ainos

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ainos Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.505.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.445.75
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.525.83
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.430.510.58
Details

Ainos Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ainos is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ainos' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ainos Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ainos within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.65
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.08
σ
Overall volatility
0.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Ainos Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ainos for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ainos Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ainos Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ainos Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Ainos Inc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Ainos Inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Ainos Inc currently holds 5.96 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 5.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Ainos Inc has a current ratio of 0.52, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Ainos' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 122.11 K. Net Loss for the year was (13.77 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 410.38 K.
Ainos Inc currently holds about 1.75 M in cash with (4.69 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.09.
Ainos Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 66.0% of Ainos shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from newswire.com: Water Tower Research Highlights IRB Approval for the Ainos VELDONA Clinical Sjogrens Trial Alongside 3Q24 Earnings and Developments

Ainos Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ainos Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ainos' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ainos' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.9 M

Ainos Technical Analysis

Ainos' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ainos Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ainos Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ainos Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ainos Predictive Forecast Models

Ainos' time-series forecasting models is one of many Ainos' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ainos' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ainos Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ainos for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ainos Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ainos Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ainos Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Ainos Inc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Ainos Inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Ainos Inc currently holds 5.96 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 5.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Ainos Inc has a current ratio of 0.52, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Ainos' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 122.11 K. Net Loss for the year was (13.77 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 410.38 K.
Ainos Inc currently holds about 1.75 M in cash with (4.69 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.09.
Ainos Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 66.0% of Ainos shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from newswire.com: Water Tower Research Highlights IRB Approval for the Ainos VELDONA Clinical Sjogrens Trial Alongside 3Q24 Earnings and Developments
When determining whether Ainos Inc is a strong investment it is important to analyze Ainos' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Ainos' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Ainos Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ainos. If investors know Ainos will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ainos listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(2.71)
Revenue Per Share
0.006
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.58)
Return On Assets
(0.28)
Return On Equity
(0.71)
The market value of Ainos Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ainos that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ainos' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ainos' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ainos' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ainos' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ainos' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ainos is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ainos' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.