Shenzhen Changfang (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.74
| 300301 Stock | 1.90 0.03 1.55% |
Shenzhen |
Shenzhen Changfang Target Price Odds to finish below 1.74
The tendency of Shenzhen Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 1.74 or more in 90 days |
| 1.90 | 90 days | 1.74 | about 76.34 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Shenzhen Changfang to drop to 1.74 or more in 90 days from now is about 76.34 (This Shenzhen Changfang Light probability density function shows the probability of Shenzhen Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Shenzhen Changfang Light price to stay between 1.74 and its current price of 1.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.88 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Shenzhen Changfang has a beta of 0.27. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Shenzhen Changfang average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Shenzhen Changfang Light will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Shenzhen Changfang Light has an alpha of 0.6787, implying that it can generate a 0.68 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Shenzhen Changfang Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Shenzhen Changfang
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shenzhen Changfang Light. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Shenzhen Changfang Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Shenzhen Changfang is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Shenzhen Changfang's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Shenzhen Changfang Light, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Shenzhen Changfang within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.68 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.25 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
Shenzhen Changfang Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Shenzhen Changfang for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Shenzhen Changfang Light can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Shenzhen Changfang may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Shenzhen Changfang appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 543.9 M. Net Loss for the year was (142.27 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 75.16 M. | |
| Shenzhen Changfang generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 35.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Shenzhen Changfang Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Shenzhen Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Shenzhen Changfang's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shenzhen Changfang's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 790.1 M |
Shenzhen Changfang Technical Analysis
Shenzhen Changfang's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Shenzhen Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Shenzhen Changfang Light. In general, you should focus on analyzing Shenzhen Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Shenzhen Changfang Predictive Forecast Models
Shenzhen Changfang's time-series forecasting models is one of many Shenzhen Changfang's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Shenzhen Changfang's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Shenzhen Changfang Light
Checking the ongoing alerts about Shenzhen Changfang for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Shenzhen Changfang Light help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Shenzhen Changfang may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Shenzhen Changfang appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 543.9 M. Net Loss for the year was (142.27 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 75.16 M. | |
| Shenzhen Changfang generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 35.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Shenzhen Stock
Shenzhen Changfang financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shenzhen Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shenzhen with respect to the benefits of owning Shenzhen Changfang security.