Armada Acquisition Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| XRPN Stock | 10.25 0.01 0.1% |
Armada Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Armada Acquisition's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Armada Acquisition's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Armada Acquisition fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Armada Acquisition's share price is approaching 49. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Armada Acquisition, making its price go up or down. Momentum 49
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Armada Acquisition hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Armada Acquisition Corp from the perspective of Armada Acquisition response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Armada Acquisition Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 10.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.82. Armada Acquisition after-hype prediction price | USD 10.24 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Armada Acquisition to cross-verify your projections. Armada Acquisition Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Armada price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Armada using various technical indicators. When you analyze Armada charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Armada Acquisition Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Armada Acquisition Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 10.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0003, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.82.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Armada Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Armada Acquisition's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Armada Acquisition Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Armada Acquisition | Armada Acquisition Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Armada Acquisition Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Armada Acquisition's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Armada Acquisition's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.09 and 10.40, respectively. We have considered Armada Acquisition's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Armada Acquisition stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Armada Acquisition stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0026 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0139 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0014 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.822 |
Predictive Modules for Armada Acquisition
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Armada Acquisition Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Armada Acquisition After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Armada Acquisition at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Armada Acquisition or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Armada Acquisition, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Armada Acquisition Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Armada Acquisition's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Armada Acquisition's historical news coverage. Armada Acquisition's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.08 and 10.40, respectively. We have considered Armada Acquisition's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Armada Acquisition is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Armada Acquisition Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Armada Acquisition Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Armada Acquisition is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Armada Acquisition backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Armada Acquisition, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
10.25 | 10.24 | 0.00 |
|
Armada Acquisition Hype Timeline
Armada Acquisition Corp is at this time traded for 10.25. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Armada is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Armada Acquisition is about 2666.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.25. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Armada Acquisition to cross-verify your projections.Armada Acquisition Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Armada Acquisition's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Armada Acquisition's future price movements. Getting to know how Armada Acquisition's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Armada Acquisition may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SAR | Saratoga Investment Corp | (0.03) | 7 per month | 0.88 | 0.02 | 1.58 | (1.79) | 4.25 | |
| PSBD | Palmer Square Capital | 0.12 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.57 | (1.42) | 5.35 | |
| AEXA | American Exceptionalism Acquisition | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.09 | (0.05) | 1.92 | (1.70) | 4.50 | |
| LEO | BNY Mellon Strategic | (0.03) | 8 per month | 0.37 | (0.11) | 0.65 | (0.65) | 2.54 | |
| MCI | Barings Corporate Investors | (0.36) | 8 per month | 1.14 | 0.02 | 2.28 | (2.31) | 8.35 | |
| GIG | GigCapital7 Corp Class | 0.01 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.53) | 0.19 | (0.37) | 1.12 | |
| BCAR | D Boral ARC | (0.05) | 2 per month | 0.14 | (0.09) | 0.30 | (0.30) | 4.24 | |
| PNNT | PennantPark Investment | 0.06 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.16 | (2.42) | 7.91 | |
| GLAD | Gladstone Capital | (0.18) | 8 per month | 1.13 | 0.02 | 2.09 | (1.72) | 9.50 | |
| SOR | Source Capital Closed | 0.40 | 8 per month | 1.08 | 0.04 | 1.83 | (1.93) | 5.72 |
Other Forecasting Options for Armada Acquisition
For every potential investor in Armada, whether a beginner or expert, Armada Acquisition's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Armada Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Armada. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Armada Acquisition's price trends.Armada Acquisition Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Armada Acquisition stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Armada Acquisition could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Armada Acquisition by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Armada Acquisition Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Armada Acquisition stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Armada Acquisition shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Armada Acquisition stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Armada Acquisition Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Armada Acquisition Risk Indicators
The analysis of Armada Acquisition's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Armada Acquisition's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting armada stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.115 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.1538 | |||
| Variance | 0.0236 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Armada Acquisition
The number of cover stories for Armada Acquisition depends on current market conditions and Armada Acquisition's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Armada Acquisition is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Armada Acquisition's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Armada Acquisition to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Will Diversified Capital Markets sector continue expanding? Could Armada diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Armada Acquisition. Anticipated expansion of Armada directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Armada Acquisition data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
The market value of Armada Acquisition Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Armada that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Armada Acquisition's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Armada Acquisition's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Armada Acquisition's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Armada Acquisition's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Armada Acquisition's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Armada Acquisition is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Armada Acquisition's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.