Woodside Petroleum Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Moving Average

WOPEF Stock  USD 17.65  1.65  10.31%   
Woodside Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Woodside Petroleum's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Woodside Petroleum's pink sheet price is roughly 61. This entails that the pink sheet is rather overbought by investors as of 29th of January 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Woodside, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 61

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Woodside Petroleum's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Woodside Petroleum and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Woodside Petroleum's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Woodside Petroleum, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Woodside Petroleum hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Woodside Petroleum from the perspective of Woodside Petroleum response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Woodside Petroleum on the next trading day is expected to be 16.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.62.

Woodside Petroleum after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 17.65  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Woodside Petroleum to cross-verify your projections.

Woodside Petroleum Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Woodside price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Woodside using various technical indicators. When you analyze Woodside charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Woodside Petroleum is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Woodside Petroleum Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Woodside Petroleum on the next trading day is expected to be 16.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40, mean absolute percentage error of 0.50, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.62.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Woodside Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Woodside Petroleum's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Woodside Petroleum Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Woodside Petroleum Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Woodside Petroleum's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Woodside Petroleum's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.30 and 21.35, respectively. We have considered Woodside Petroleum's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
17.65
16.82
Expected Value
21.35
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Woodside Petroleum pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Woodside Petroleum pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.7336
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0506
MADMean absolute deviation0.4003
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0253
SAESum of the absolute errors23.615
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Woodside Petroleum price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Woodside Petroleum. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Woodside Petroleum

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Woodside Petroleum. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Woodside Petroleum's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.1317.6522.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.6514.1718.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
14.7916.0117.23
Details

Woodside Petroleum After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Woodside Petroleum at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Woodside Petroleum or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Woodside Petroleum, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Woodside Petroleum Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Woodside Petroleum's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Woodside Petroleum's historical news coverage. Woodside Petroleum's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.13 and 22.17, respectively. We have considered Woodside Petroleum's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
17.65
17.65
After-hype Price
22.17
Upside
Woodside Petroleum is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Woodside Petroleum is based on 3 months time horizon.

Woodside Petroleum Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Woodside Petroleum is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Woodside Petroleum backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Woodside Petroleum, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.35 
4.52
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Any time
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
17.65
17.65
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Woodside Petroleum Hype Timeline

Woodside Petroleum is at this time traded for 17.65. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Woodside is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.35%. %. The volatility of related hype on Woodside Petroleum is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.65. About 35.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.42. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Woodside Petroleum last dividend was issued on the 8th of September 2022. The entity had 838:827 split on the 19th of February 2018. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be any time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Woodside Petroleum to cross-verify your projections.

Woodside Petroleum Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Woodside Petroleum's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Woodside Petroleum's future price movements. Getting to know how Woodside Petroleum's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Woodside Petroleum may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
GLPEYGalp Energa 0.00 0 per month 3.17 (0.01) 2.69 (2.14) 16.65 
PUTRYPTT PCL ADR 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.07  2.88  0.00  12.50 
PSKOFPolski Koncern Naftowy 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.13  0.00  0.00  17.79 
IPXHYInpex Corp ADR 0.00 0 per month 1.42  0.16  3.28 (2.26) 9.10 
PETFFPTT Public 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
MPLXMPLX LP 0.00 0 per month 0.86  0.14  1.73 (1.73) 4.74 
IPXHFInpex 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.14  0.00  0.00  25.30 
ENBFFEnbridge 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.12) 0.00  0.00  2.31 
PUTRFPTT Public 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.18) 0.00  0.00  9.47 
PEXNYPTT Exploration Production 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.04) 14.80 (12.41) 51.92 

Other Forecasting Options for Woodside Petroleum

For every potential investor in Woodside, whether a beginner or expert, Woodside Petroleum's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Woodside Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Woodside. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Woodside Petroleum's price trends.

Woodside Petroleum Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Woodside Petroleum pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Woodside Petroleum could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Woodside Petroleum by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Woodside Petroleum Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Woodside Petroleum pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Woodside Petroleum shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Woodside Petroleum pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Woodside Petroleum entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Woodside Petroleum Risk Indicators

The analysis of Woodside Petroleum's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Woodside Petroleum's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting woodside pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Woodside Petroleum

The number of cover stories for Woodside Petroleum depends on current market conditions and Woodside Petroleum's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Woodside Petroleum is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Woodside Petroleum's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Woodside Pink Sheet

Woodside Petroleum financial ratios help investors to determine whether Woodside Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Woodside with respect to the benefits of owning Woodside Petroleum security.