Wihlborgs Fastigheter Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| WIHL Stock | SEK 88.65 0.90 1.01% |
Wihlborgs Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the value of RSI of Wihlborgs Fastigheter's share price is approaching 43. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Wihlborgs Fastigheter, making its price go up or down. Momentum 43
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Wihlborgs Fastigheter hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Wihlborgs Fastigheter AB from the perspective of Wihlborgs Fastigheter response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Wihlborgs Fastigheter AB on the next trading day is expected to be 89.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.46 and the sum of the absolute errors of 90.28. Wihlborgs Fastigheter after-hype prediction price | SEK 88.65 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Wihlborgs |
Wihlborgs Fastigheter Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Wihlborgs price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Wihlborgs using various technical indicators. When you analyze Wihlborgs charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Wihlborgs Fastigheter Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Wihlborgs Fastigheter AB on the next trading day is expected to be 89.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.46, mean absolute percentage error of 3.27, and the sum of the absolute errors of 90.28.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Wihlborgs Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Wihlborgs Fastigheter's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Wihlborgs Fastigheter Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Wihlborgs Fastigheter | Wihlborgs Fastigheter Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Wihlborgs Fastigheter Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Wihlborgs Fastigheter's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Wihlborgs Fastigheter's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 88.47 and 90.73, respectively. We have considered Wihlborgs Fastigheter's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Wihlborgs Fastigheter stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Wihlborgs Fastigheter stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.1344 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.4561 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.016 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 90.278 |
Predictive Modules for Wihlborgs Fastigheter
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wihlborgs Fastigheter. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Wihlborgs Fastigheter After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Wihlborgs Fastigheter at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Wihlborgs Fastigheter or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Wihlborgs Fastigheter, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Wihlborgs Fastigheter Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Wihlborgs Fastigheter's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Wihlborgs Fastigheter's historical news coverage. Wihlborgs Fastigheter's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 87.52 and 89.78, respectively. We have considered Wihlborgs Fastigheter's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Wihlborgs Fastigheter is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Wihlborgs Fastigheter is based on 3 months time horizon.
Wihlborgs Fastigheter Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Wihlborgs Fastigheter is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Wihlborgs Fastigheter backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Wihlborgs Fastigheter, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 1.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Any time |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
88.65 | 88.65 | 0.00 |
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Wihlborgs Fastigheter Hype Timeline
Wihlborgs Fastigheter is at this time traded for 88.65on Stockholm Exchange of Sweden. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Wihlborgs is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on Wihlborgs Fastigheter is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 88.65. About 13.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.15. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Wihlborgs Fastigheter has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.59. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 11.96. The firm last dividend was issued on the 27th of April 2022. Wihlborgs Fastigheter had 2:1 split on the 23rd of May 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be any time. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Wihlborgs Fastigheter to cross-verify your projections.Wihlborgs Fastigheter Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Wihlborgs Fastigheter's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Wihlborgs Fastigheter's future price movements. Getting to know how Wihlborgs Fastigheter's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Wihlborgs Fastigheter may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WALL-B | Wallenstam AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 1.40 | (1.93) | 6.65 | |
| CATE | Catena AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 1.88 | (1.91) | 8.82 | |
| FABG | Fabege AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.21 | (0.04) | 2.33 | (1.94) | 12.19 | |
| HUFV-A | Hufvudstaden AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.91 | (1.56) | 4.27 | |
| NP3 | NP3 Fastigheter AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.55 | (1.67) | 7.72 | |
| ATRLJ-B | Atrium Ljungberg AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.60 | (2.13) | 10.07 | |
| NYF | Nyfosa AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 1.93 | (2.69) | 6.63 | |
| PLAZ-B | Platzer Fastigheter Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.39 | (2.18) | 6.84 | |
| CIBUS | Cibus Nordic Real | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 1.40 | (1.96) | 4.67 |
Other Forecasting Options for Wihlborgs Fastigheter
For every potential investor in Wihlborgs, whether a beginner or expert, Wihlborgs Fastigheter's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Wihlborgs Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Wihlborgs. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Wihlborgs Fastigheter's price trends.Wihlborgs Fastigheter Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Wihlborgs Fastigheter stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Wihlborgs Fastigheter could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Wihlborgs Fastigheter by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Wihlborgs Fastigheter Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Wihlborgs Fastigheter stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Wihlborgs Fastigheter shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Wihlborgs Fastigheter stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Wihlborgs Fastigheter AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 6479.52 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.67) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 88.88 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 88.8 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.67) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.90) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 43.82 |
Wihlborgs Fastigheter Risk Indicators
The analysis of Wihlborgs Fastigheter's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Wihlborgs Fastigheter's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting wihlborgs stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8616 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.15 | |||
| Variance | 1.31 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Wihlborgs Fastigheter
The number of cover stories for Wihlborgs Fastigheter depends on current market conditions and Wihlborgs Fastigheter's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Wihlborgs Fastigheter is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Wihlborgs Fastigheter's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Wihlborgs Fastigheter Short Properties
Wihlborgs Fastigheter's future price predictability will typically decrease when Wihlborgs Fastigheter's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Wihlborgs Fastigheter AB often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Wihlborgs Fastigheter's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wihlborgs Fastigheter's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 107.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 315 M |
Additional Tools for Wihlborgs Stock Analysis
When running Wihlborgs Fastigheter's price analysis, check to measure Wihlborgs Fastigheter's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Wihlborgs Fastigheter is operating at the current time. Most of Wihlborgs Fastigheter's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Wihlborgs Fastigheter's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Wihlborgs Fastigheter's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Wihlborgs Fastigheter to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.