Teton Convertible Mutual Fund Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average
| WESIX Fund | USD 15.02 0.04 0.27% |
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Teton Vertible Securities on the next trading day is expected to be 15.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.75. Teton Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Teton Convertible's share price is below 20 . This entails that the mutual fund is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Teton Convertible hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Teton Vertible Securities from the perspective of Teton Convertible response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Teton Vertible Securities on the next trading day is expected to be 15.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.75. Teton Convertible after-hype prediction price | USD 15.02 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Teton |
Teton Convertible Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Teton price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Teton using various technical indicators. When you analyze Teton charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Teton Convertible 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Teton Vertible Securities on the next trading day is expected to be 15.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22, mean absolute percentage error of 0.1, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.75.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Teton Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Teton Convertible's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Teton Convertible Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Teton Convertible | Teton Convertible Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Teton Convertible Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Teton Convertible's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Teton Convertible's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.61 and 16.39, respectively. We have considered Teton Convertible's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Teton Convertible mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Teton Convertible mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.2629 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0484 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2197 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0157 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.745 |
Predictive Modules for Teton Convertible
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Teton Vertible Securities. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Teton Convertible After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Teton Convertible at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Teton Convertible or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Teton Convertible, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Teton Convertible Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Teton Convertible's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Teton Convertible's historical news coverage. Teton Convertible's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.63 and 16.41, respectively. We have considered Teton Convertible's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Teton Convertible is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Teton Vertible Securities is based on 3 months time horizon.
Teton Convertible Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Teton Convertible is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Teton Convertible backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Teton Convertible, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 1.39 | 0.00 | 0.15 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Any time |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
15.02 | 15.02 | 0.00 |
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Teton Convertible Hype Timeline
Teton Vertible Securities is at this time traded for 15.02. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.15. Teton is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on Teton Convertible is about 118.8%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.17. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be any time. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Teton Convertible to cross-verify your projections.Teton Convertible Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Teton Convertible's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Teton Convertible's future price movements. Getting to know how Teton Convertible's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Teton Convertible may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CIPMX | Champlain Mid Cap | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.32 | 0.1 | 1.68 | (1.22) | 23.97 | |
| ATGYX | Aquila Three Peaks | (0.18) | 1 per month | 0.79 | 0.04 | 1.62 | (1.32) | 7.31 | |
| SMPIX | Semiconductor Ultrasector Profund | 2.86 | 1 per month | 3.00 | 0.09 | 4.70 | (5.50) | 28.59 | |
| PBLIX | Pnc Balanced Allocation | 0.02 | 7 per month | 0.58 | 0.01 | 1.03 | (1.12) | 2.93 | |
| PATFX | T Rowe Price | 5.29 | 4 per month | 0.02 | (0.48) | 0.27 | (0.18) | 0.90 | |
| PLAAX | Pace Large Growth | 0.20 | 4 per month | 0.60 | 0.09 | 1.46 | (1.92) | 37.01 | |
| OPTCX | Rbb Fund | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 0.30 | (0.20) | 1.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Teton Convertible
For every potential investor in Teton, whether a beginner or expert, Teton Convertible's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Teton Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Teton. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Teton Convertible's price trends.Teton Convertible Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Teton Convertible mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Teton Convertible could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Teton Convertible by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Teton Convertible Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Teton Convertible mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Teton Convertible shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Teton Convertible mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Teton Vertible Securities entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 15.02 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 15.02 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.02) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.04) |
Teton Convertible Risk Indicators
The analysis of Teton Convertible's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Teton Convertible's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting teton mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9551 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.01 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.37 | |||
| Variance | 1.88 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.31 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.02 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.11) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Teton Convertible
The number of cover stories for Teton Convertible depends on current market conditions and Teton Convertible's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Teton Convertible is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Teton Convertible's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Other Information on Investing in Teton Mutual Fund
Teton Convertible financial ratios help investors to determine whether Teton Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Teton with respect to the benefits of owning Teton Convertible security.
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