Vontier Corp Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

VNT Stock  USD 37.35  0.24  0.65%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Vontier Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 37.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.66. Vontier Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Vontier Corp's Inventory Turnover is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Payables Turnover is likely to gain to 4.88 in 2024, whereas Receivables Turnover is likely to drop 4.62 in 2024. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 133.1 M in 2024. Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to drop to about 399.5 M in 2024.
Vontier Corp simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Vontier Corp are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Vontier Corp prices get older.

Vontier Corp Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Vontier Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 37.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44, mean absolute percentage error of 0.43, and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.66.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Vontier Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Vontier Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Vontier Corp Stock Forecast Pattern

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Vontier Corp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Vontier Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Vontier Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 35.55 and 39.15, respectively. We have considered Vontier Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
37.35
37.35
Expected Value
39.15
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Vontier Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Vontier Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.2583
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0633
MADMean absolute deviation0.437
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0118
SAESum of the absolute errors26.66
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Vontier Corp forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Vontier Corp observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Vontier Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vontier Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
35.5037.3039.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
36.1937.9939.79
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
30.7433.7837.50
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.720.720.72
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Vontier Corp

For every potential investor in Vontier, whether a beginner or expert, Vontier Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Vontier Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Vontier. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Vontier Corp's price trends.

Vontier Corp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Vontier Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Vontier Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vontier Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Vontier Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Vontier Corp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Vontier Corp's current price.

Vontier Corp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Vontier Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Vontier Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Vontier Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Vontier Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Vontier Corp Risk Indicators

The analysis of Vontier Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Vontier Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vontier stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Vontier Stock Analysis

When running Vontier Corp's price analysis, check to measure Vontier Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vontier Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Vontier Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vontier Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vontier Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vontier Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.