US Copper Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| USCU Stock | CAD 0.18 0.01 5.26% |
USCU Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength momentum indicator of US Copper's share price is at 55. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling US Copper, making its price go up or down. Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using US Copper hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of US Copper Corp from the perspective of US Copper response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of US Copper Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.53. US Copper after-hype prediction price | CAD 0.15 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
USCU |
US Copper Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine USCU price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for USCU using various technical indicators. When you analyze USCU charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
US Copper Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of US Copper Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.53.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict USCU Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that US Copper's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
US Copper Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest US Copper | US Copper Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
US Copper Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting US Copper's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. US Copper's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 11.33, respectively. We have considered US Copper's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of US Copper stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent US Copper stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 107.5855 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.002 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0088 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.065 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.525 |
Predictive Modules for US Copper
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as US Copper Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of US Copper's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
US Copper After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of US Copper at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in US Copper or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of US Copper, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
US Copper Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting US Copper's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on US Copper's historical news coverage. US Copper's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 11.30, respectively. We have considered US Copper's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
US Copper is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of US Copper Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
US Copper Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as US Copper is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading US Copper backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with US Copper, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.36 | 11.15 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 2 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.18 | 0.15 | 16.67 |
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US Copper Hype Timeline
US Copper Corp is at this time traded for 0.18on TSX Venture Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. USCU is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.15. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -16.67%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 1.36%. The volatility of related hype on US Copper is about 200700.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.19. About 13.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.01. US Copper Corp last dividend was issued on the 26th of September 2012. The entity had 1:10 split on the 30th of June 2014. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of US Copper to cross-verify your projections.US Copper Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to US Copper's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict US Copper's future price movements. Getting to know how US Copper's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how US Copper may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TM | Trigon Metals | 0.02 | 3 per month | 4.01 | 0.23 | 13.16 | (7.41) | 29.63 | |
| WCU | World Copper | 0.01 | 7 per month | 17.43 | 0.04 | 100.00 | (50.00) | 150.00 | |
| WRR | Walker River Resources | 0.00 | 5 per month | 5.14 | 0.08 | 10.00 | (8.00) | 31.56 | |
| SRA | Stria Lithium | (0.01) | 3 per month | 8.08 | 0.15 | 21.21 | (17.86) | 46.13 | |
| ZAC | Zacatecas Silver Corp | (0.01) | 3 per month | 5.24 | 0.11 | 15.79 | (9.09) | 41.91 | |
| TG | Trifecta Gold | (0.02) | 5 per month | 7.41 | 0 | 10.71 | (7.14) | 61.47 | |
| CAM | Cascadia Minerals | 0.01 | 5 per month | 5.01 | 0.08 | 7.69 | (10.00) | 36.44 | |
| OZ | Outback Goldfields Corp | 0.05 | 1 per month | 4.86 | 0.10 | 12.00 | (10.00) | 35.90 | |
| SME | Sama Resources | 0.01 | 3 per month | 4.03 | 0.08 | 9.09 | (9.09) | 25.76 |
Other Forecasting Options for US Copper
For every potential investor in USCU, whether a beginner or expert, US Copper's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. USCU Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in USCU. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying US Copper's price trends.US Copper Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with US Copper stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of US Copper could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing US Copper by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
US Copper Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how US Copper stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading US Copper shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying US Copper stock market strength indicators, traders can identify US Copper Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 60650.85 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.33) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.95 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.19 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.18 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 55.25 |
US Copper Risk Indicators
The analysis of US Copper's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in US Copper's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting uscu stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 7.15 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 6.63 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 10.89 | |||
| Variance | 118.6 | |||
| Downside Variance | 106.81 | |||
| Semi Variance | 43.93 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (12.95) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for US Copper
The number of cover stories for US Copper depends on current market conditions and US Copper's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that US Copper is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about US Copper's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for USCU Stock Analysis
When running US Copper's price analysis, check to measure US Copper's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy US Copper is operating at the current time. Most of US Copper's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of US Copper's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move US Copper's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of US Copper to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.