Texas Pacific Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| TPL Stock | USD 341.74 5.20 1.50% |
Texas Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Texas Pacific's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Texas Pacific's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Texas Pacific fundamentals over time.
As of now, The value of relative strength index of Texas Pacific's share price is at 59. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Texas Pacific, making its price go up or down. Momentum 59
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.138 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 5.7205 | EPS Estimate Current Year 21.1235 | EPS Estimate Next Year 25.293 | Wall Street Target Price 635 |
Using Texas Pacific hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Texas Pacific Land from the perspective of Texas Pacific response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Texas Pacific using Texas Pacific's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Texas using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Texas Pacific's stock price.
Texas Pacific Short Interest
An investor who is long Texas Pacific may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Texas Pacific and may potentially protect profits, hedge Texas Pacific with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 1.1 K | Short Percent 0.0715 | Short Ratio 13.07 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.6 M | 50 Day MA 933.622 |
Texas Relative Strength Index
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Texas Pacific Land on the next trading day is expected to be 366.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 577.41.Texas Pacific Land Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Texas Pacific's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Texas. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Texas can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Texas Pacific Land. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Texas Pacific's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Texas Pacific.
Texas Pacific Implied Volatility | 0.3 |
Texas Pacific's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Texas Pacific Land stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Texas Pacific's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Texas Pacific stock will not fluctuate a lot when Texas Pacific's options are near their expiration.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Texas Pacific Land on the next trading day is expected to be 366.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 577.41. Texas Pacific after-hype prediction price | USD 341.74 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Texas Pacific to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Texas contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Texas Pacific Land will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0188% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Texas Pacific trading at USD 341.74, that is roughly USD 0.0641 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Texas Pacific's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Texas Pacific Land options at the current volatility level of 0.3%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Texas Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Texas Pacific's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Texas Pacific's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Texas Pacific stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Texas Pacific's open interest, investors have to compare it to Texas Pacific's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Texas Pacific is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Texas. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Texas Pacific Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Texas price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Texas using various technical indicators. When you analyze Texas charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Texas Pacific Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Texas Pacific Land on the next trading day is expected to be 366.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.31, mean absolute percentage error of 121.89, and the sum of the absolute errors of 577.41.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Texas Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Texas Pacific's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Texas Pacific Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Texas Pacific | Texas Pacific Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Texas Pacific Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Texas Pacific's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Texas Pacific's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 363.00 and 369.08, respectively. We have considered Texas Pacific's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Texas Pacific stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Texas Pacific stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 124.7515 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 9.313 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0302 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 577.4086 |
Predictive Modules for Texas Pacific
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Texas Pacific Land. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Texas Pacific After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Texas Pacific at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Texas Pacific or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Texas Pacific, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Texas Pacific Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Texas Pacific's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Texas Pacific's historical news coverage. Texas Pacific's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 338.73 and 344.75, respectively. We have considered Texas Pacific's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Texas Pacific is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Texas Pacific Land is based on 3 months time horizon.
Texas Pacific Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Texas Pacific is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Texas Pacific backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Texas Pacific, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.22 | 3.04 | 1.07 | 0.18 | 11 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
341.74 | 341.74 | 0.00 |
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Texas Pacific Hype Timeline
On the 27th of January Texas Pacific Land is traded for 341.74. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.18. Texas is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 62.42%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.22%. %. The volatility of related hype on Texas Pacific is about 379.53%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 341.56. About 73.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 20.73. Texas Pacific Land last dividend was issued on the 1st of December 2025. The entity had 3:1 split on the 27th of March 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Texas Pacific to cross-verify your projections.Texas Pacific Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Texas Pacific's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Texas Pacific's future price movements. Getting to know how Texas Pacific's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Texas Pacific may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DVN | Devon Energy | (0.94) | 8 per month | 1.64 | 0.11 | 3.91 | (3.33) | 9.52 | |
| CTRA | Coterra Energy | (0.59) | 12 per month | 1.54 | 0.11 | 2.45 | (2.90) | 9.69 | |
| PBA | Pembina Pipeline Corp | (1.17) | 10 per month | 1.23 | 0.04 | 1.99 | (1.63) | 6.67 | |
| TS | Tenaris SA ADR | (0.32) | 11 per month | 1.28 | 0.18 | 3.76 | (2.24) | 9.87 | |
| VG | Venture Global | 0.77 | 9 per month | 4.18 | (0) | 6.78 | (7.80) | 17.61 | |
| EXE | Expand Energy | 0.10 | 6 per month | 1.51 | 0.06 | 4.39 | (2.69) | 10.14 | |
| HAL | Halliburton | 0.25 | 6 per month | 1.60 | 0.18 | 4.23 | (3.16) | 11.25 | |
| EC | Ecopetrol SA ADR | 0.13 | 13 per month | 1.67 | 0.26 | 3.80 | (3.07) | 10.93 | |
| FTI | TechnipFMC PLC | 0.39 | 11 per month | 1.03 | 0.28 | 3.59 | (1.94) | 14.23 | |
| EXEEL | Expand Energy | (6.63) | 6 per month | 1.78 | 0.03 | 4.97 | (3.34) | 13.68 |
Other Forecasting Options for Texas Pacific
For every potential investor in Texas, whether a beginner or expert, Texas Pacific's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Texas Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Texas. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Texas Pacific's price trends.Texas Pacific Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Texas Pacific stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Texas Pacific could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Texas Pacific by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Texas Pacific Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Texas Pacific stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Texas Pacific shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Texas Pacific stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Texas Pacific Land entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 11263.12 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.37) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 345.6 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 344.31 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (6.45) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (5.20) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 59.91 |
Texas Pacific Risk Indicators
The analysis of Texas Pacific's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Texas Pacific's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting texas stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.07 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.25 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.91 | |||
| Variance | 8.46 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.9 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.04 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.32) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Texas Pacific
The number of cover stories for Texas Pacific depends on current market conditions and Texas Pacific's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Texas Pacific is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Texas Pacific's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Texas Pacific Short Properties
Texas Pacific's future price predictability will typically decrease when Texas Pacific's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Texas Pacific Land often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Texas Pacific's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Texas Pacific's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 23 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 369.8 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Texas Pacific to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Texas Pacific. If investors know Texas will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Texas Pacific listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.138 | Dividend Share 6.4 | Earnings Share 20.73 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.17 |
The market value of Texas Pacific Land is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Texas that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Texas Pacific's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Texas Pacific's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Texas Pacific's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Texas Pacific's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Texas Pacific's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Texas Pacific is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Texas Pacific's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.