Temenos Group Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

TMSNY Stock  USD 105.44  0.09  0.09%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Temenos Group AG on the next trading day is expected to be 103.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 132.81. Temenos Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Temenos Group's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Temenos Group's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Temenos Group AG, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Temenos Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Temenos Group AG from the perspective of Temenos Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Temenos Group AG on the next trading day is expected to be 103.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 132.81.

Temenos Group after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 105.44  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Temenos Group to cross-verify your projections.

Temenos Group Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Temenos price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Temenos using various technical indicators. When you analyze Temenos charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Temenos Group is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Temenos Group AG value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Temenos Group Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 14th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Temenos Group AG on the next trading day is expected to be 103.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.14, mean absolute percentage error of 7.18, and the sum of the absolute errors of 132.81.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Temenos Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Temenos Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Temenos Group Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Temenos GroupTemenos Group Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Temenos Group Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Temenos Group's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Temenos Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 101.21 and 105.04, respectively. We have considered Temenos Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
105.44
101.21
Downside
103.12
Expected Value
105.04
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Temenos Group pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Temenos Group pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.9199
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.1422
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0239
SAESum of the absolute errors132.8144
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Temenos Group AG. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Temenos Group. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Temenos Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Temenos Group AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
103.52105.44107.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
94.90116.27118.19
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Temenos Group

For every potential investor in Temenos, whether a beginner or expert, Temenos Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Temenos Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Temenos. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Temenos Group's price trends.

Temenos Group Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Temenos Group pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Temenos Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Temenos Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Temenos Group AG Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Temenos Group's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Temenos Group's current price.

Temenos Group Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Temenos Group pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Temenos Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Temenos Group pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Temenos Group AG entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Temenos Group Risk Indicators

The analysis of Temenos Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Temenos Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting temenos pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Temenos Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Temenos Group's price analysis, check to measure Temenos Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Temenos Group is operating at the current time. Most of Temenos Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Temenos Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Temenos Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Temenos Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.