Titan Mining Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| TI Stock | CAD 5.38 0.38 7.60% |
Titan Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Titan Mining's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Titan Mining's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Titan Mining fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength momentum indicator of Titan Mining's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.79) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.08) | Wall Street Target Price 8.237 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.027 |
Using Titan Mining hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Titan Mining Corp from the perspective of Titan Mining response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Titan Mining Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 5.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.71. Titan Mining after-hype prediction price | CAD 5.39 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Titan |
Titan Mining Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Titan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Titan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Titan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Titan Mining Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 8th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Titan Mining Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 5.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23, mean absolute percentage error of 0.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.71.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Titan Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Titan Mining's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Titan Mining Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Titan Mining | Titan Mining Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Titan Mining Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Titan Mining's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Titan Mining's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.05 and 12.16, respectively. We have considered Titan Mining's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Titan Mining stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Titan Mining stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0672 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2285 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0495 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 13.71 |
Predictive Modules for Titan Mining
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Titan Mining Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Titan Mining's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Titan Mining After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Titan Mining at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Titan Mining or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Titan Mining, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Titan Mining Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Titan Mining's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Titan Mining's historical news coverage. Titan Mining's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.27 and 12.21, respectively. We have considered Titan Mining's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Titan Mining is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Titan Mining Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Titan Mining Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Titan Mining is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Titan Mining backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Titan Mining, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.80 | 6.82 | 0.25 | 0.00 | 6 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
5.38 | 5.39 | 0.19 |
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Titan Mining Hype Timeline
Titan Mining Corp is at this time traded for 5.38on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.25, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Titan is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 5.39 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is estimated to be 0.19%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.8%. The volatility of related hype on Titan Mining is about 227333.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.38. The company reported the revenue of 64.3 M. Net Income was 6.72 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 24.7 M. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Titan Mining to cross-verify your projections.Titan Mining Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Titan Mining's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Titan Mining's future price movements. Getting to know how Titan Mining's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Titan Mining may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VLI | Vision Lithium | 0.01 | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 83.33 | |
| NZP | Chatham Rock Phosphate | 0.01 | 5 per month | 0.00 | 0.03 | 25.00 | (20.00) | 45.00 | |
| XTM | Transition Metals Corp | 0.00 | 4 per month | 4.24 | 0.05 | 7.69 | (7.14) | 26.79 | |
| MUR | Murchison Minerals | (0.03) | 1 per month | 5.64 | 0.03 | 10.26 | (9.52) | 40.80 | |
| NRN | Northern Shield Resources | 0.00 | 3 per month | 7.87 | 0.07 | 20.00 | (16.67) | 52.50 |
Other Forecasting Options for Titan Mining
For every potential investor in Titan, whether a beginner or expert, Titan Mining's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Titan Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Titan. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Titan Mining's price trends.Titan Mining Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Titan Mining stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Titan Mining could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Titan Mining by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Titan Mining Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Titan Mining stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Titan Mining shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Titan Mining stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Titan Mining Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 5819.08 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.9744 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.08 | |||
| Day Median Price | 5.31 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 5.33 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.26 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.38 |
Titan Mining Risk Indicators
The analysis of Titan Mining's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Titan Mining's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting titan stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.75 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.71 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.65 | |||
| Variance | 44.29 | |||
| Downside Variance | 32.06 | |||
| Semi Variance | 22.23 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.37) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Titan Mining
The number of cover stories for Titan Mining depends on current market conditions and Titan Mining's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Titan Mining is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Titan Mining's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Titan Mining Short Properties
Titan Mining's future price predictability will typically decrease when Titan Mining's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Titan Mining Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Titan Mining's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Titan Mining's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 90.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 10.2 M |
Other Information on Investing in Titan Stock
Titan Mining financial ratios help investors to determine whether Titan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Titan with respect to the benefits of owning Titan Mining security.