Technical Communications Pink Sheet Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

TCCO Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
Technical Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Technical Communications' share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Technical Communications' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Technical Communications, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Technical Communications hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Technical Communications from the perspective of Technical Communications response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Technical Communications on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.

Technical Communications after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.0E-4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Technical Communications to cross-verify your projections.

Technical Communications Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Technical price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Technical using various technical indicators. When you analyze Technical charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Technical Communications works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Technical Communications Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Technical Communications on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Technical Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Technical Communications' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Technical Communications Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Technical Communications  Technical Communications Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Technical Communications Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Technical Communications' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Technical Communications' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered Technical Communications' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0001
0.0001
Downside
0.0001
Expected Value
0.0001
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Technical Communications pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Technical Communications pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
When Technical Communications prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Technical Communications trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Technical Communications observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Technical Communications

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Technical Communications. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Technical Communications' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00010.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0000840.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00010.00010.0001
Details

Technical Communications After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Technical Communications at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Technical Communications or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Technical Communications, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Technical Communications Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Technical Communications' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Technical Communications' historical news coverage. Technical Communications' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Technical Communications' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.0001
0.0001
After-hype Price
0.00
Upside
Technical Communications is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Technical Communications is based on 3 months time horizon.

Technical Communications Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Technical Communications is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Technical Communications backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Technical Communications, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.0001
0.0001
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Technical Communications Hype Timeline

Technical Communications is at this time traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Technical is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Technical Communications is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. About 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.84. Technical Communications last dividend was issued on the 18th of December 2012. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Technical Communications to cross-verify your projections.

Technical Communications Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Technical Communications' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Technical Communications' future price movements. Getting to know how Technical Communications' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Technical Communications may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AWINAERWINS Technologies 0.00 1 per month 0.00  0.05  0.00  0.00  150.00 
INHCInnolog Holdings 0.00 4 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
STUOSTI Group 0.00 3 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
HSCOHi Score 0.00 3 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
GAEXGA EXpress 0.00 2 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
AEYGQADDvantage Technologies Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
EMMDeMedia Group 0.00 2 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ZTNOZoom Technologies 0.00 1 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
SMRLSimtrol 0.00 2 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
NYXONyxio Tech Corp 0.00 1 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Technical Communications

For every potential investor in Technical, whether a beginner or expert, Technical Communications' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Technical Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Technical. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Technical Communications' price trends.

Technical Communications Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Technical Communications pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Technical Communications could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Technical Communications by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Technical Communications Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Technical Communications pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Technical Communications shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Technical Communications pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Technical Communications entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for Technical Communications

The number of cover stories for Technical Communications depends on current market conditions and Technical Communications' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Technical Communications is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Technical Communications' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Technical Pink Sheet

Technical Communications financial ratios help investors to determine whether Technical Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Technical with respect to the benefits of owning Technical Communications security.