Smurfit WestRock Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| SW Stock | 48.20 0.33 0.68% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Smurfit WestRock plc on the next trading day is expected to be 48.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 64.94. Smurfit Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, Smurfit WestRock's Inventory Turnover is fairly stable compared to the past year. Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to climb to 1.79 in 2025, whereas Payables Turnover is likely to drop 4.57 in 2025. . Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to climb to about 595.5 M in 2025, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop slightly above 304.2 M in 2025. Open Interest Against 2025-10-17 Smurfit Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Smurfit WestRock's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Smurfit WestRock's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Smurfit WestRock stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Smurfit WestRock's open interest, investors have to compare it to Smurfit WestRock's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Smurfit WestRock is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Smurfit. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Smurfit WestRock's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 855 M | Current Value 905.8 M | Quarterly Volatility 381.2 M |
Smurfit WestRock Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 31st of July
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Smurfit WestRock plc on the next trading day is expected to be 48.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.05, mean absolute percentage error of 1.63, and the sum of the absolute errors of 64.94.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Smurfit Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Smurfit WestRock's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Smurfit WestRock Stock Forecast Pattern
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Smurfit WestRock Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Smurfit WestRock's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Smurfit WestRock's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 46.23 and 50.36, respectively. We have considered Smurfit WestRock's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Smurfit WestRock stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Smurfit WestRock stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.4382 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.0474 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0238 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 64.9367 |
Predictive Modules for Smurfit WestRock
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Smurfit WestRock plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Smurfit WestRock's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Smurfit WestRock
For every potential investor in Smurfit, whether a beginner or expert, Smurfit WestRock's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Smurfit Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Smurfit. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Smurfit WestRock's price trends.Smurfit WestRock Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Smurfit WestRock stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Smurfit WestRock could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Smurfit WestRock by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Smurfit WestRock plc Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Smurfit WestRock's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Smurfit WestRock's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Smurfit WestRock Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Smurfit WestRock stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Smurfit WestRock shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Smurfit WestRock stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Smurfit WestRock plc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 55102.65 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.37) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 48.36 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 48.3 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.32) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.33) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 84.43 |
Smurfit WestRock Risk Indicators
The analysis of Smurfit WestRock's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Smurfit WestRock's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting smurfit stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.51 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.59 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.06 | |||
| Variance | 4.23 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.3 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.54 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.63) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Smurfit Stock Analysis
When running Smurfit WestRock's price analysis, check to measure Smurfit WestRock's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Smurfit WestRock is operating at the current time. Most of Smurfit WestRock's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Smurfit WestRock's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Smurfit WestRock's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Smurfit WestRock to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.