Pioneer Strategic Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Moving Average

STRKX Fund  USD 9.56  0.01  0.10%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Pioneer Strategic Income on the next trading day is expected to be 9.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.46. Pioneer Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Pioneer Strategic is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Pioneer Strategic Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 21st of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Pioneer Strategic Income on the next trading day is expected to be 9.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.46.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pioneer Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pioneer Strategic's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Pioneer Strategic Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Pioneer StrategicPioneer Strategic Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Pioneer Strategic Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Pioneer Strategic's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pioneer Strategic's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.27 and 9.85, respectively. We have considered Pioneer Strategic's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
9.56
9.56
Expected Value
9.85
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pioneer Strategic mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pioneer Strategic mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria107.5409
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0026
MADMean absolute deviation0.0248
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0026
SAESum of the absolute errors1.465
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Pioneer Strategic Income price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Pioneer Strategic. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Pioneer Strategic

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pioneer Strategic Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.279.569.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.829.1110.52
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Pioneer Strategic

For every potential investor in Pioneer, whether a beginner or expert, Pioneer Strategic's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pioneer Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pioneer. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pioneer Strategic's price trends.

Pioneer Strategic Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pioneer Strategic mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pioneer Strategic could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pioneer Strategic by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Pioneer Strategic Income Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Pioneer Strategic's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Pioneer Strategic's current price.

Pioneer Strategic Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pioneer Strategic mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pioneer Strategic shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pioneer Strategic mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Pioneer Strategic Income entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Pioneer Strategic Risk Indicators

The analysis of Pioneer Strategic's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pioneer Strategic's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pioneer mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Pioneer Mutual Fund

Pioneer Strategic financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pioneer Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pioneer with respect to the benefits of owning Pioneer Strategic security.
Portfolio Volatility
Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk
My Watchlist Analysis
Analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like
FinTech Suite
Use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities
Positions Ratings
Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance