SThree Plc Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

STEM Stock   186.00  1.20  0.64%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of SThree plc on the next trading day is expected to be 179.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.48 and the sum of the absolute errors of 216.06. SThree Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of SThree Plc's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of SThree Plc's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of SThree Plc and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from SThree Plc's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with SThree plc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting SThree Plc's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.74)
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.1335
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.0547
Wall Street Target Price
248.75
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.15)
Using SThree Plc hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SThree plc from the perspective of SThree Plc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of SThree plc on the next trading day is expected to be 179.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.48 and the sum of the absolute errors of 216.06.

SThree Plc after-hype prediction price

    
  GBX 185.62  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SThree Plc to cross-verify your projections.

SThree Plc Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine SThree price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SThree using various technical indicators. When you analyze SThree charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
SThree Plc polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for SThree plc as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

SThree Plc Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 25th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of SThree plc on the next trading day is expected to be 179.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.48, mean absolute percentage error of 18.44, and the sum of the absolute errors of 216.06.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SThree Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SThree Plc's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

SThree Plc Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest SThree PlcSThree Plc Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

SThree Plc Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting SThree Plc's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SThree Plc's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 177.84 and 181.28, respectively. We have considered SThree Plc's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
186.00
177.84
Downside
179.56
Expected Value
181.28
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SThree Plc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SThree Plc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria122.8629
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation3.4849
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0201
SAESum of the absolute errors216.0633
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the SThree Plc historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for SThree Plc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SThree plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
183.91185.62187.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
167.40191.19192.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
160.94179.08197.21
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
9.209.8610.28
Details

SThree Plc After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of SThree Plc at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SThree Plc or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SThree Plc, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

SThree Plc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting SThree Plc's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SThree Plc's historical news coverage. SThree Plc's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 183.91 and 187.33, respectively. We have considered SThree Plc's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
186.00
183.91
Downside
185.62
After-hype Price
187.33
Upside
SThree Plc is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SThree plc is based on 3 months time horizon.

SThree Plc Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SThree Plc is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SThree Plc backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SThree Plc, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.31 
1.72
  0.37 
  1.11 
7 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
186.00
185.62
0.20 
143.33  
Notes

SThree Plc Hype Timeline

SThree plc is at this time traded for 186.00on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.37, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 1.11. SThree is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 185.62. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 143.33%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.2%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.31%. The volatility of related hype on SThree Plc is about 48.2%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 187.11. About 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.07. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. SThree plc last dividend was issued on the 13th of November 2025. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SThree Plc to cross-verify your projections.

SThree Plc Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to SThree Plc's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SThree Plc's future price movements. Getting to know how SThree Plc's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SThree Plc may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for SThree Plc

For every potential investor in SThree, whether a beginner or expert, SThree Plc's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SThree Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SThree. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SThree Plc's price trends.

SThree Plc Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SThree Plc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SThree Plc could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SThree Plc by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

SThree Plc Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SThree Plc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SThree Plc shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SThree Plc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify SThree plc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

SThree Plc Risk Indicators

The analysis of SThree Plc's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SThree Plc's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sthree stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for SThree Plc

The number of cover stories for SThree Plc depends on current market conditions and SThree Plc's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SThree Plc is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SThree Plc's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

SThree Plc Short Properties

SThree Plc's future price predictability will typically decrease when SThree Plc's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of SThree plc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential SThree Plc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SThree Plc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding134.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments69.8 M

Additional Tools for SThree Stock Analysis

When running SThree Plc's price analysis, check to measure SThree Plc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SThree Plc is operating at the current time. Most of SThree Plc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SThree Plc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SThree Plc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SThree Plc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.