Soiltech ASA Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing

STECH Stock   79.80  1.60  2.05%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Soiltech ASA on the next trading day is expected to be 80.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 70.19. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast Soiltech ASA's stock prices and determine the direction of Soiltech ASA's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Soiltech ASA's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate. As of now, The value of RSI of Soiltech ASA's share price is at 58. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Soiltech ASA, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 58

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Soiltech ASA's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Soiltech ASA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Soiltech ASA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Soiltech ASA from the perspective of Soiltech ASA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Soiltech ASA on the next trading day is expected to be 80.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 70.19.

Soiltech ASA after-hype prediction price

    
  NOK 79.8  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.

Soiltech ASA Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Soiltech price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Soiltech using various technical indicators. When you analyze Soiltech charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Triple exponential smoothing for Soiltech ASA - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Soiltech ASA prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Soiltech ASA price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Soiltech ASA.

Soiltech ASA Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 31st of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Soiltech ASA on the next trading day is expected to be 80.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.17, mean absolute percentage error of 3.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 70.19.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Soiltech Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Soiltech ASA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Soiltech ASA Stock Forecast Pattern

Soiltech ASA Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Soiltech ASA's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Soiltech ASA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 77.69 and 82.50, respectively. We have considered Soiltech ASA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
79.80
80.10
Expected Value
82.50
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Soiltech ASA stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Soiltech ASA stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.222
MADMean absolute deviation1.1698
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0161
SAESum of the absolute errors70.1889
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Soiltech ASA observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Soiltech ASA observations.

Predictive Modules for Soiltech ASA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Soiltech ASA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Soiltech ASA. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Soiltech ASA's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Soiltech ASA's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Soiltech ASA.

Soiltech ASA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

As far as predicting the price of Soiltech ASA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Soiltech ASA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Soiltech ASA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Soiltech ASA Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Soiltech ASA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Soiltech ASA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Soiltech ASA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.20 
2.41
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
79.80
79.80
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Soiltech ASA Hype Timeline

Soiltech ASA is at this time traded for 79.80on Oslo Stock Exchange of Norway. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Soiltech is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.2%. %. The volatility of related hype on Soiltech ASA is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 79.80. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be within a week.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.

Soiltech ASA Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Soiltech ASA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Soiltech ASA's future price movements. Getting to know how Soiltech ASA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Soiltech ASA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Soiltech ASA

For every potential investor in Soiltech, whether a beginner or expert, Soiltech ASA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Soiltech Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Soiltech. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Soiltech ASA's price trends.

Soiltech ASA Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Soiltech ASA stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Soiltech ASA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Soiltech ASA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Soiltech ASA Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Soiltech ASA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Soiltech ASA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Soiltech ASA stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Soiltech ASA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Soiltech ASA Risk Indicators

The analysis of Soiltech ASA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Soiltech ASA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting soiltech stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Soiltech ASA

The number of cover stories for Soiltech ASA depends on current market conditions and Soiltech ASA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Soiltech ASA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Soiltech ASA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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