Spuntech Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| SPNTC Stock | ILS 336.30 6.00 1.75% |
Spuntech Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the value of RSI of Spuntech's share price is approaching 47. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Spuntech, making its price go up or down. Momentum 47
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Spuntech hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Spuntech from the perspective of Spuntech response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Spuntech on the next trading day is expected to be 336.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.74 and the sum of the absolute errors of 404.16. Spuntech after-hype prediction price | ILA 336.3 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Spuntech |
Spuntech Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Spuntech price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Spuntech using various technical indicators. When you analyze Spuntech charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Spuntech Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Spuntech on the next trading day is expected to be 336.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.74, mean absolute percentage error of 91.45, and the sum of the absolute errors of 404.16.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Spuntech Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Spuntech's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Spuntech Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Spuntech | Spuntech Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Spuntech Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Spuntech's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Spuntech's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 333.86 and 339.53, respectively. We have considered Spuntech's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Spuntech stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Spuntech stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -1.1761 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 6.736 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0196 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 404.1624 |
Predictive Modules for Spuntech
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Spuntech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Spuntech's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Spuntech After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Spuntech at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Spuntech or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Spuntech, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Spuntech Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Spuntech's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Spuntech's historical news coverage. Spuntech's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 333.47 and 339.13, respectively. We have considered Spuntech's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Spuntech is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Spuntech is based on 3 months time horizon.
Spuntech Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Spuntech is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Spuntech backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Spuntech, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 2.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
336.30 | 336.30 | 0.00 |
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Spuntech Hype Timeline
Spuntech is at this time traded for 336.30on Tel Aviv Stock Exchange of Israel. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Spuntech is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Spuntech is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 336.30. About 70.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.88. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Spuntech last dividend was issued on the 12th of January 2021. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Spuntech to cross-verify your projections.Spuntech Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Spuntech's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Spuntech's future price movements. Getting to know how Spuntech's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Spuntech may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TFRLF | Tefron | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.70 | (3.05) | 35.74 | |
| QNCO | Queenco L | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.63 | (4.53) | 15.20 | |
| TGI | TGI Infrastructures | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.60 | (2.64) | 7.85 | |
| SHNP | Schnapp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.78 | 0.01 | 2.74 | (3.09) | 8.57 | |
| MSBI | Hamashbir 365 Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.25 | (0.01) | 2.66 | (2.28) | 6.01 | |
| GNGR | Ginegar | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.28 | (0.01) | 2.59 | (1.73) | 9.16 | |
| MRG | Multi Retail Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 1.92 | (3.82) | 10.68 | |
| AVIA | Aviation Links | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.00 | (0) | 2.88 | (3.65) | 16.23 | |
| RVL | Raval ACS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.64 | 0.08 | 3.83 | (2.83) | 11.35 | |
| AVGL | Avgol Industries 1953 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.41 | (2.52) | 6.91 |
Other Forecasting Options for Spuntech
For every potential investor in Spuntech, whether a beginner or expert, Spuntech's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Spuntech Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Spuntech. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Spuntech's price trends.Spuntech Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Spuntech stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Spuntech could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Spuntech by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Spuntech Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Spuntech stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Spuntech shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Spuntech stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Spuntech entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 50.93 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.54) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 334.35 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 335.0 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 9.0E-4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.05) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (6.00) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 47.77 |
Spuntech Risk Indicators
The analysis of Spuntech's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Spuntech's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting spuntech stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.05 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.23 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.97 | |||
| Variance | 8.85 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.68 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.99 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.33) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Spuntech
The number of cover stories for Spuntech depends on current market conditions and Spuntech's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Spuntech is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Spuntech's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Spuntech Short Properties
Spuntech's future price predictability will typically decrease when Spuntech's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Spuntech often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Spuntech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Spuntech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 66.4 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 39.8 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 87 M |
Additional Tools for Spuntech Stock Analysis
When running Spuntech's price analysis, check to measure Spuntech's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Spuntech is operating at the current time. Most of Spuntech's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Spuntech's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Spuntech's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Spuntech to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.