Steel Partners OTC Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

SPLPDelisted Stock  USD 37.00  0.99  2.75%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Steel Partners Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 36.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.74 and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.88. Steel OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Steel Partners works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Steel Partners Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 8th of May

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Steel Partners Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 36.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.74, mean absolute percentage error of 1.63, and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.88.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Steel OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Steel Partners' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Steel Partners OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

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Steel Partners Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Steel Partners' OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Steel Partners' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 33.58 and 40.32, respectively. We have considered Steel Partners' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.

Market Value

37.00
36.95
Expected Value
40.32
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Steel Partners otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Steel Partners otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0658
MADMean absolute deviation0.7438
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0199
SAESum of the absolute errors43.8824
When Steel Partners Holdings prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Steel Partners Holdings trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Steel Partners observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Steel Partners

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Steel Partners Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
34.0537.4240.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.1631.5340.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
33.0139.2145.41
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Steel Partners

For every potential investor in Steel, whether a beginner or expert, Steel Partners' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Steel OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Steel. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Steel Partners' price trends.

Steel Partners Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Steel Partners otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Steel Partners could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Steel Partners by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Steel Partners Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Steel Partners' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Steel Partners' current price.

Steel Partners Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Steel Partners otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Steel Partners shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Steel Partners otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Steel Partners Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Steel Partners Risk Indicators

The analysis of Steel Partners' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Steel Partners' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting steel otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Steel Partners

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Steel Partners position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Steel Partners will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Steel OTC Stock

  0.68BBU Brookfield BusinessPairCorr

Moving against Steel OTC Stock

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  0.59TRC Tejon RanchPairCorr
  0.54FBYDW Falcons Beyond Global,PairCorr
  0.5AZ A2Z Smart TechnologiesPairCorr
  0.38BA BoeingPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Steel Partners could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Steel Partners when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Steel Partners - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Steel Partners Holdings to buy it.
The correlation of Steel Partners is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Steel Partners moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Steel Partners Holdings moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Steel Partners can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Steel Partners to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

Other Consideration for investing in Steel OTC Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Steel Partners Holdings check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Steel Partners' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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