Sozap Publ Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

SOZAP Stock   0.26  0.11  29.73%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Sozap Publ AB on the next trading day is expected to be 0.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.09. Sozap Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Sozap Publ is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Sozap Publ Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 2nd of October

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Sozap Publ AB on the next trading day is expected to be 0.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.09.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sozap Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sozap Publ's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sozap Publ Stock Forecast Pattern

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Sozap Publ Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Sozap Publ's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sozap Publ's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 18.59, respectively. We have considered Sozap Publ's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.26
0.32
Expected Value
18.59
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sozap Publ stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sozap Publ stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.3927
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0077
MADMean absolute deviation0.0353
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1089
SAESum of the absolute errors2.085
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Sozap Publ AB price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Sozap Publ. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Sozap Publ

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sozap Publ AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.2617.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.2517.85
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Sozap Publ

For every potential investor in Sozap, whether a beginner or expert, Sozap Publ's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sozap Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sozap. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sozap Publ's price trends.

Sozap Publ Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sozap Publ stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sozap Publ could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sozap Publ by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sozap Publ AB Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Sozap Publ's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Sozap Publ's current price.

Sozap Publ Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sozap Publ stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sozap Publ shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sozap Publ stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sozap Publ AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Sozap Publ Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sozap Publ's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sozap Publ's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sozap stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Sozap Stock Analysis

When running Sozap Publ's price analysis, check to measure Sozap Publ's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sozap Publ is operating at the current time. Most of Sozap Publ's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sozap Publ's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sozap Publ's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sozap Publ to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.