Scott Technology Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

SCTTF Stock  USD 1.14  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Scott Technology Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 1.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0005 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.03. Scott Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Scott Technology's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026 The relative strength index (RSI) of Scott Technology's share price is above 80 . This usually implies that the pink sheet is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 100

 Buy Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Scott Technology's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Scott Technology and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Scott Technology's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Scott Technology Limited, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Scott Technology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Scott Technology Limited from the perspective of Scott Technology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Scott Technology Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 1.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0005 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.03.

Scott Technology after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.14  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Scott Technology to cross-verify your projections.

Scott Technology Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Scott price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Scott using various technical indicators. When you analyze Scott charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Scott Technology simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Scott Technology Limited are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Scott Technology prices get older.

Scott Technology Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Scott Technology Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 1.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0005, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000015, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.03.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Scott Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Scott Technology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Scott Technology Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Scott Technology Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Scott Technology's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Scott Technology's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.80 and 1.48, respectively. We have considered Scott Technology's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.14
1.14
Expected Value
1.48
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Scott Technology pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Scott Technology pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria105.1652
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -5.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation5.0E-4
MAPEMean absolute percentage error4.0E-4
SAESum of the absolute errors0.03
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Scott Technology Limited forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Scott Technology observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Scott Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Scott Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Scott Technology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.801.141.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.791.131.47
Details

Scott Technology After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Scott Technology at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Scott Technology or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Scott Technology, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Scott Technology Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Scott Technology's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Scott Technology's historical news coverage. Scott Technology's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.80 and 1.48, respectively. We have considered Scott Technology's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1.14
1.14
After-hype Price
1.48
Upside
Scott Technology is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Scott Technology is based on 3 months time horizon.

Scott Technology Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Scott Technology is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Scott Technology backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Scott Technology, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.04 
0.34
  0.01 
  0.01 
3 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.14
1.14
0.00 
125.93  
Notes

Scott Technology Hype Timeline

Scott Technology is at this time traded for 1.14. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Scott is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 125.93%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Scott Technology is about 179.89%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.13. About 67.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Scott Technology was at this time reported as 1.26. The company last dividend was issued on the 4th of November 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 3 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Scott Technology to cross-verify your projections.

Scott Technology Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Scott Technology's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Scott Technology's future price movements. Getting to know how Scott Technology's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Scott Technology may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
SKUYFSansei Technologies 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
BYYLFBalyo SA 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
AUSTFAustin Engineering Limited(0.27)16 per month 0.00  0.01  5.88  0.00  53.33 
AMROFAmaero International(0.27)6 per month 6.72  0.09  18.75 (11.76) 63.81 
CRAWACrawford United 0.00 0 per month 1.57  0.02  4.88 (2.33) 14.71 
ADFJFADF Group(0.27)9 per month 2.07  0.04  4.37 (3.98) 18.32 
ICTSFICTS International NV(0.27)12 per month 0.00 (0.13) 2.56 (6.75) 14.11 
AUUMFAumann AG(0.27)3 per month 0.00 (0.09) 0.00 (1.73) 14.66 
CHMXNEXT ChemX(0.27)21 per month 0.00 (0.13) 0.00  0.00  99.79 
DIGTFThruvision Group plc(0.27)25 per month 0.00 (0.13) 0.00  0.00  58.12 

Other Forecasting Options for Scott Technology

For every potential investor in Scott, whether a beginner or expert, Scott Technology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Scott Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Scott. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Scott Technology's price trends.

Scott Technology Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Scott Technology pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Scott Technology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Scott Technology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Scott Technology Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Scott Technology pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Scott Technology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Scott Technology pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Scott Technology Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Scott Technology Risk Indicators

The analysis of Scott Technology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Scott Technology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting scott pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Scott Technology

The number of cover stories for Scott Technology depends on current market conditions and Scott Technology's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Scott Technology is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Scott Technology's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Scott Pink Sheet

Scott Technology financial ratios help investors to determine whether Scott Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Scott with respect to the benefits of owning Scott Technology security.