XCF Global Stock Forward View
| SAFX Stock | 0.16 0.02 11.44% |
XCF Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of relative strength index of XCF Global's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using XCF Global hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of XCF Global Class from the perspective of XCF Global response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
XCF Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of XCF Global Class on the next trading day is expected to be 0.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.42.XCF Global Class Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to XCF Global's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in XCF. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding XCF can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around XCF Global Class. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of XCF Global's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about XCF Global.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of XCF Global Class on the next trading day is expected to be 0.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.42. XCF Global after-hype prediction price | USD 0.17 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of XCF Global to cross-verify your projections. XCF Global Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine XCF price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for XCF using various technical indicators. When you analyze XCF charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the XCF Global's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 17.7 K | Current Value 16.8 K | Quarterly Volatility 519.7 K |
XCF Global Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of XCF Global Class on the next trading day is expected to be 0.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.42.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict XCF Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that XCF Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
XCF Global Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest XCF Global | XCF Global Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
XCF Global Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting XCF Global's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. XCF Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 18.07, respectively. We have considered XCF Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of XCF Global stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent XCF Global stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.3154 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0397 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1065 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.4234 |
Predictive Modules for XCF Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as XCF Global Class. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.XCF Global After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of XCF Global at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in XCF Global or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of XCF Global, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
XCF Global Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting XCF Global's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on XCF Global's historical news coverage. XCF Global's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 18.09, respectively. We have considered XCF Global's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
XCF Global is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of XCF Global Class is based on 3 months time horizon.
XCF Global Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as XCF Global is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading XCF Global backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with XCF Global, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.93 | 17.92 | 0.01 | 0.09 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.16 | 0.17 | 5.56 |
|
XCF Global Hype Timeline
XCF Global Class is at this time traded for 0.16. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.09. XCF is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.17. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -5.56%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.93%. The volatility of related hype on XCF Global is about 18863.16%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.07. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of XCF Global to cross-verify your projections.XCF Global Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to XCF Global's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict XCF Global's future price movements. Getting to know how XCF Global's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how XCF Global may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KGEI | Kolibri Global Energy | 0.03 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.91 | (4.30) | 11.55 | |
| AMPY | Amplify Energy Corp | 0.06 | 5 per month | 3.14 | 0.05 | 5.27 | (3.85) | 17.71 | |
| ANNA | AleAnna Class A | 0.15 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 7.00 | (4.88) | 20.01 | |
| INR | Infinity Natural Resources | 0.06 | 10 per month | 1.79 | 0.18 | 5.33 | (3.40) | 19.95 | |
| HUSA | Houston American Energy | (0.22) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 7.08 | (11.54) | 44.49 | |
| IMPP | Imperial Petroleum | (0.26) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 5.56 | (6.94) | 33.83 | |
| EPM | Evolution Petroleum | 0.02 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.66 | (4.48) | 10.47 | |
| VAL | Valaris | (1.16) | 9 per month | 2.47 | 0.03 | 3.95 | (3.39) | 13.35 | |
| GTE | Gran Tierra Energy | 0.36 | 11 per month | 4.12 | 0.16 | 8.24 | (5.52) | 23.83 | |
| REI | Ring Energy | 0.01 | 10 per month | 1.71 | 0.13 | 5.68 | (3.16) | 11.11 |
Other Forecasting Options for XCF Global
For every potential investor in XCF, whether a beginner or expert, XCF Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. XCF Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in XCF. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying XCF Global's price trends.XCF Global Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with XCF Global stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of XCF Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing XCF Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
XCF Global Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how XCF Global stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading XCF Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying XCF Global stock market strength indicators, traders can identify XCF Global Class entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.89 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.16 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.16 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.02) |
XCF Global Risk Indicators
The analysis of XCF Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in XCF Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting xcf stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 8.51 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 17.14 | |||
| Variance | 293.69 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for XCF Global
The number of cover stories for XCF Global depends on current market conditions and XCF Global's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that XCF Global is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about XCF Global's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
XCF Global Short Properties
XCF Global's future price predictability will typically decrease when XCF Global's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of XCF Global Class often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential XCF Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. XCF Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 19.7 K |
Additional Tools for XCF Stock Analysis
When running XCF Global's price analysis, check to measure XCF Global's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy XCF Global is operating at the current time. Most of XCF Global's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of XCF Global's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move XCF Global's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of XCF Global to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.