Running Oak Etf Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| RUNN Etf | 34.62 0.27 0.77% |
Running Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, The relative strength momentum indicator of Running Oak's share price is at 55 indicating that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Running Oak, making its price go up or down. Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Running Oak hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Running Oak Efficient from the perspective of Running Oak response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Running Oak Efficient on the next trading day is expected to be 34.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.33. Running Oak after-hype prediction price | USD 34.62 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Running Oak to cross-verify your projections. Running Oak Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Running price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Running using various technical indicators. When you analyze Running charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Running Oak Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Running Oak Efficient on the next trading day is expected to be 34.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23, mean absolute percentage error of 0.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.33.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Running Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Running Oak's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Running Oak Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Running Oak | Running Oak Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Running Oak Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Running Oak's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Running Oak's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 34.10 and 35.72, respectively. We have considered Running Oak's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Running Oak etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Running Oak etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.4938 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2311 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0069 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 14.3292 |
Predictive Modules for Running Oak
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Running Oak Efficient. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Running Oak After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Running Oak at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Running Oak or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Running Oak, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Running Oak Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Running Oak's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Running Oak's historical news coverage. Running Oak's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 33.80 and 35.44, respectively. We have considered Running Oak's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Running Oak is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Running Oak Efficient is based on 3 months time horizon.
Running Oak Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Running Oak is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Running Oak backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Running Oak, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 0.81 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 6 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
34.62 | 34.62 | 0.00 |
|
Running Oak Hype Timeline
Running Oak Efficient is at this time traded for 34.62. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Running is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on Running Oak is about 3375.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 34.62. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Running Oak to cross-verify your projections.Running Oak Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Running Oak's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Running Oak's future price movements. Getting to know how Running Oak's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Running Oak may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CSMD | Professionally Managed Portfolios | (0.13) | 1 per month | 1.36 | (0.02) | 1.84 | (1.93) | 5.58 | |
| GJAN | First Trust Exchange Traded | (0.02) | 2 per month | 0.21 | (0.12) | 0.48 | (0.36) | 1.74 | |
| GDE | WisdomTree Efficient Gold | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.17 | 0.17 | 2.66 | (1.94) | 8.20 | |
| AGOX | Adaptive Alpha Opportunities | 0.02 | 3 per month | 0.85 | (0.08) | 1.55 | (1.41) | 3.52 | |
| DMAR | First Trust Exchange Traded | (0.42) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 0.29 | (0.29) | 0.86 | |
| SIXP | AIM ETF Products | 0.02 | 1 per month | 0.26 | (0.11) | 0.54 | (0.67) | 1.89 | |
| GVUS | Goldman Sachs ETF | 0.05 | 2 per month | 0.52 | 0.04 | 1.32 | (1.08) | 3.01 | |
| SFLO | VictoryShares Small Cap | 0.06 | 2 per month | 0.75 | (0.0009) | 2.01 | (1.25) | 3.74 | |
| DAUG | FT Cboe Vest | 0.14 | 5 per month | 0.27 | (0.13) | 0.46 | (0.48) | 1.70 | |
| IQSU | IQ Candriam ESG | 0.04 | 2 per month | 0.69 | (0.03) | 1.17 | (1.08) | 3.19 |
Other Forecasting Options for Running Oak
For every potential investor in Running, whether a beginner or expert, Running Oak's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Running Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Running. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Running Oak's price trends.Running Oak Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Running Oak etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Running Oak could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Running Oak by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Running Oak Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Running Oak etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Running Oak shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Running Oak etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Running Oak Efficient entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 245.74 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.87) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 34.72 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 34.68 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.23) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.27) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 55.34 |
Running Oak Risk Indicators
The analysis of Running Oak's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Running Oak's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting running etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6229 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.7983 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.8283 | |||
| Variance | 0.6861 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.7027 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.6374 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.61) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Running Oak
The number of cover stories for Running Oak depends on current market conditions and Running Oak's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Running Oak is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Running Oak's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Running Oak to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
The market value of Running Oak Efficient is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Running that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Running Oak's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Running Oak's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Running Oak's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Running Oak's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Running Oak's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Running Oak is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Running Oak's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.