REGI US Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

RGUS Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of REGI Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000331 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0002. REGI Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for REGI US is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of REGI Inc value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

REGI US Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of July

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of REGI Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000331, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0002.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict REGI Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that REGI US's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

REGI US Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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REGI US Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting REGI US's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. REGI US's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000001 and 127.84, respectively. We have considered REGI US's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0001
0.000001
Downside
0.0001
Expected Value
127.84
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of REGI US pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent REGI US pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria95.5502
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error9.223372036854776E14
SAESum of the absolute errors2.0E-4
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of REGI Inc. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict REGI US. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for REGI US

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as REGI Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of REGI US's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000150.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.00006350.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00010.00010.0001
Details

Other Forecasting Options for REGI US

For every potential investor in REGI, whether a beginner or expert, REGI US's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. REGI Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in REGI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying REGI US's price trends.

REGI US Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with REGI US pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of REGI US could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing REGI US by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

REGI Inc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of REGI US's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of REGI US's current price.

REGI US Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how REGI US pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading REGI US shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying REGI US pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify REGI Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

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Additional Tools for REGI Pink Sheet Analysis

When running REGI US's price analysis, check to measure REGI US's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy REGI US is operating at the current time. Most of REGI US's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of REGI US's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move REGI US's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of REGI US to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.