Reconnaissance Energy Stock Forward View

RECO Stock  CAD 0.81  0.01  1.25%   
Reconnaissance Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of relative strength index of Reconnaissance Energy's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Reconnaissance Energy's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Reconnaissance Energy and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Reconnaissance Energy's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Reconnaissance Energy Africa, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Reconnaissance Energy's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.417
Wall Street Target Price
3.0277
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.51)
Using Reconnaissance Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Reconnaissance Energy Africa from the perspective of Reconnaissance Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Reconnaissance Energy Africa on the next trading day is expected to be 0.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.55.

Reconnaissance Energy after-hype prediction price

    
  CAD 0.61  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Reconnaissance Energy to cross-verify your projections.

Reconnaissance Energy Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Reconnaissance price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Reconnaissance using various technical indicators. When you analyze Reconnaissance charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Reconnaissance Energy is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Reconnaissance Energy Africa value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Reconnaissance Energy Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 17th of February 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Reconnaissance Energy Africa on the next trading day is expected to be 0.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.55.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Reconnaissance Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Reconnaissance Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Reconnaissance Energy Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Reconnaissance Energy  Reconnaissance Energy Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Reconnaissance Energy Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Reconnaissance Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Reconnaissance Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 8.60, respectively. We have considered Reconnaissance Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.81
0.85
Expected Value
8.60
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Reconnaissance Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Reconnaissance Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.1209
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0583
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0691
SAESum of the absolute errors3.5535
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Reconnaissance Energy Africa. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Reconnaissance Energy. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Reconnaissance Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Reconnaissance Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.618.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.808.55
Details

Reconnaissance Energy After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Reconnaissance Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Reconnaissance Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Reconnaissance Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Reconnaissance Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Reconnaissance Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Reconnaissance Energy's historical news coverage. Reconnaissance Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 8.36, respectively. We have considered Reconnaissance Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.81
0.61
After-hype Price
8.36
Upside
Reconnaissance Energy is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Reconnaissance Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.

Reconnaissance Energy Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Reconnaissance Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Reconnaissance Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Reconnaissance Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.02 
7.75
  0.20 
  0.03 
4 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.81
0.61
24.69 
3,875  
Notes

Reconnaissance Energy Hype Timeline

Reconnaissance Energy is at this time traded for 0.81on TSX Venture Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.2, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Reconnaissance is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.61. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -24.69%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 1.02%. The volatility of related hype on Reconnaissance Energy is about 31000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.84. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.44. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Reconnaissance Energy last dividend was issued on the 6th of September 2019. The entity had 1:2 split on the 6th of September 2019. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Reconnaissance Energy to cross-verify your projections.

Reconnaissance Energy Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Reconnaissance Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Reconnaissance Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Reconnaissance Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Reconnaissance Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
GTEGran Tierra Energy(0.05)10 per month 4.62  0.08  5.96 (7.01) 22.05 
TPLTethys Petroleum 0.10 3 per month 6.28  0.08  16.15 (12.50) 60.16 
SHLESource Energy Services 0.43 5 per month 2.33  0.21  5.56 (4.86) 16.97 
PSDPulse Seismic 0.01 7 per month 1.13  0.17  3.63 (2.46) 12.36 
ACXACT Energy Technologies(0.25)6 per month 2.71  0.07  4.46 (5.00) 12.63 
QECQuesterre Energy(0.01)5 per month 0.00 (0.08) 6.90 (6.90) 21.83 
BNEBonterra Energy Corp 0.03 4 per month 2.73  0.14  4.34 (3.97) 11.84 
HMEHemisphere Energy(0.01)3 per month 2.01 (0.01) 3.08 (2.09) 12.33 
MGAMega Uranium 0.03 2 per month 4.84  0.11  10.53 (7.69) 36.67 
SEISintana Energy(0.03)6 per month 0.00 (0.03) 6.82 (5.66) 32.08 

Other Forecasting Options for Reconnaissance Energy

For every potential investor in Reconnaissance, whether a beginner or expert, Reconnaissance Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Reconnaissance Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Reconnaissance. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Reconnaissance Energy's price trends.

Reconnaissance Energy Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Reconnaissance Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Reconnaissance Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Reconnaissance Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Reconnaissance Energy Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Reconnaissance Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Reconnaissance Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Reconnaissance Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Reconnaissance Energy Africa entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Reconnaissance Energy Risk Indicators

The analysis of Reconnaissance Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Reconnaissance Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting reconnaissance stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Reconnaissance Energy

The number of cover stories for Reconnaissance Energy depends on current market conditions and Reconnaissance Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Reconnaissance Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Reconnaissance Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Additional Tools for Reconnaissance Stock Analysis

When running Reconnaissance Energy's price analysis, check to measure Reconnaissance Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Reconnaissance Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Reconnaissance Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Reconnaissance Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Reconnaissance Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Reconnaissance Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.