Pin Oak Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| POGSX Fund | USD 92.89 0.73 0.79% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Pin Oak Equity on the next trading day is expected to be 92.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.64 and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.42. Pin Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Pin Oak's mutual fund price is slightly above 61 indicating that the mutual fund is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Pin, making its price go up or down. Momentum 61
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Pin Oak hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pin Oak Equity from the perspective of Pin Oak response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Pin Oak Equity on the next trading day is expected to be 92.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.64 and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.42. Pin Oak after-hype prediction price | USD 92.89 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Pin |
Pin Oak Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Pin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Pin Oak Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Pin Oak Equity on the next trading day is expected to be 92.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.64, mean absolute percentage error of 0.65, and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.42.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pin Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pin Oak's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Pin Oak Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Pin Oak | Pin Oak Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Pin Oak Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Pin Oak's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pin Oak's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 92.13 and 93.65, respectively. We have considered Pin Oak's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pin Oak mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pin Oak mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.8395 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1469 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6403 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0072 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 38.415 |
Predictive Modules for Pin Oak
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pin Oak Equity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Pin Oak's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Pin Oak After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Pin Oak at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Pin Oak or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Pin Oak, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Pin Oak Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Pin Oak's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Pin Oak's historical news coverage. Pin Oak's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 92.12 and 93.66, respectively. We have considered Pin Oak's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Pin Oak is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Pin Oak Equity is based on 3 months time horizon.
Pin Oak Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Pin Oak is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pin Oak backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Pin Oak, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 0.76 | 8.54 | 0.02 | 2 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
92.89 | 92.89 | 0.00 |
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Pin Oak Hype Timeline
Pin Oak Equity is at this time traded for 92.89. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -8.54, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Pin is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 0.98%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on Pin Oak is about 409.58%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 92.87. The company last dividend was issued on the 26th of December 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pin Oak to cross-verify your projections.Pin Oak Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Pin Oak's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Pin Oak's future price movements. Getting to know how Pin Oak's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Pin Oak may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PVIVX | Paradigm Micro Cap Fund | 0.97 | 1 per month | 1.48 | (0.04) | 2.51 | (3.07) | 8.67 | |
| WMKSX | Wesmark Small Pany | (2.01) | 1 per month | 0.49 | 0.14 | 2.19 | (1.67) | 28.83 | |
| TRRTX | T Rowe Price | (2.40) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 0.45 | (0.36) | 3.21 | |
| NESIX | Needham Small Cap | 0.32 | 1 per month | 1.98 | 0.07 | 3.06 | (3.85) | 8.91 | |
| MSD | Morgan Stanley Emerging | (0.03) | 1 per month | 0.26 | (0.01) | 1.09 | (0.69) | 2.21 | |
| GLQ | Clough Global Ef | 1.53 | 4 per month | 0.73 | 0.04 | 1.36 | (1.59) | 3.69 | |
| CFIMX | Clipper Fund Inc | (0.04) | 1 per month | 0.49 | 0.13 | 1.61 | (1.09) | 3.69 | |
| RSMRX | Rbc Smid Cap | (0.05) | 10 per month | 0.49 | 0.12 | 2.21 | (1.36) | 11.09 | |
| CBLSX | Cb Large Cap | 0.04 | 2 per month | 0.25 | 0.12 | 1.54 | (1.02) | 14.41 |
Other Forecasting Options for Pin Oak
For every potential investor in Pin, whether a beginner or expert, Pin Oak's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pin Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pin Oak's price trends.Pin Oak Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pin Oak mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pin Oak could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pin Oak by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Pin Oak Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pin Oak mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pin Oak shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pin Oak mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Pin Oak Equity entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 92.89 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 92.89 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.37 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.73 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 61.18 |
Pin Oak Risk Indicators
The analysis of Pin Oak's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pin Oak's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pin mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6103 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.5633 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.7614 | |||
| Variance | 0.5797 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.5479 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.3173 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.67) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Pin Oak
The number of cover stories for Pin Oak depends on current market conditions and Pin Oak's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Pin Oak is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Pin Oak's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Pin Mutual Fund
Pin Oak financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pin Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pin with respect to the benefits of owning Pin Oak security.
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