Pacific Health OTC Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average
| PFHO Stock | USD 1.26 0.04 3.08% |
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Pacific Health Care on the next trading day is expected to be 1.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.29. Pacific OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the value of rsi of Pacific Health's share price is below 20 indicating that the otc stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Pacific Health based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Pacific Health hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pacific Health Care from the perspective of Pacific Health response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Pacific Health Care on the next trading day is expected to be 1.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.29. Pacific Health after-hype prediction price | USD 1.26 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Pacific |
Pacific Health Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Pacific price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pacific using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pacific charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Pacific Health 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Pacific Health Care on the next trading day is expected to be 1.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.29.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pacific OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pacific Health's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Pacific Health OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Pacific Health | Pacific Health Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Pacific Health Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Pacific Health's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pacific Health's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 7.33, respectively. We have considered Pacific Health's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pacific Health otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pacific Health otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 100.7255 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.016 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0794 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0667 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.2875 |
Predictive Modules for Pacific Health
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pacific Health Care. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Pacific Health After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Pacific Health at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Pacific Health or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Pacific Health, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Pacific Health Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Pacific Health's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Pacific Health's historical news coverage. Pacific Health's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.06 and 7.31, respectively. We have considered Pacific Health's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Pacific Health is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Pacific Health Care is based on 3 months time horizon.
Pacific Health OTC Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Pacific Health is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pacific Health backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Pacific Health, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.26 | 6.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.26 | 1.26 | 0.00 |
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Pacific Health Hype Timeline
Pacific Health Care is at this time traded for 1.26. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Pacific is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.26%. %. The volatility of related hype on Pacific Health is about 201666.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.26. About 75.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.85. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Pacific Health Care last dividend was issued on the 10th of September 2015. The entity had 4:1 split on the 6th of January 2020. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pacific Health to cross-verify your projections.Pacific Health Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Pacific Health's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Pacific Health's future price movements. Getting to know how Pacific Health's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Pacific Health may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PTKFY | Kalbe Farma Tbk | 0.01 | 16 per month | 2.56 | 0.06 | 7.84 | (8.31) | 33.11 | |
| BTCY | Biotricity | (0.01) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 12.07 | (12.68) | 32.11 | |
| PPCB | Propanc Biopharma Common | 0.01 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.46) | 6.47 | (12.58) | 27.99 | |
| RYAHF | Ryah Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| QPTFF | Quest PharmaTech | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MYCOF | Mydecine Innovations Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 37.04 | (9.09) | 3,203 | |
| UEEC | United Health Products | 0.01 | 16 per month | 7.06 | 0.03 | 15.15 | (12.50) | 36.86 | |
| NUMIF | Numinus Wellness | 0.01 | 3 per month | 8.47 | 0.03 | 25.00 | (17.50) | 68.91 | |
| GLABF | Gemina Laboratories | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 0.00 | (27.54) | 144.07 | |
| LUFFF | Luff Enterprises | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.17 | 60.00 | 0.00 | 1,899 |
Other Forecasting Options for Pacific Health
For every potential investor in Pacific, whether a beginner or expert, Pacific Health's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pacific OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pacific. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pacific Health's price trends.Pacific Health Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pacific Health otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pacific Health could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pacific Health by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Pacific Health Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pacific Health otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pacific Health shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pacific Health otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Pacific Health Care entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.26 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.26 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.02) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.04) |
Pacific Health Risk Indicators
The analysis of Pacific Health's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pacific Health's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pacific otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.12 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.95 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.25 | |||
| Variance | 39.04 | |||
| Downside Variance | 71.29 | |||
| Semi Variance | 24.52 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (6.64) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Pacific Health
The number of cover stories for Pacific Health depends on current market conditions and Pacific Health's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Pacific Health is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Pacific Health's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Pacific OTC Stock
Pacific Health financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pacific OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pacific with respect to the benefits of owning Pacific Health security.