Pet Valu Stock Forward View - 20 Period Moving Average
| PET Stock | 29.27 0.24 0.83% |
Pet Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Pet Valu's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Pet Valu's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Pet Valu fundamentals over time.
As of today, the value of RSI of Pet Valu's share price is approaching 38 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Pet Valu, making its price go up or down. Momentum 38
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.125 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.5442 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.6473 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.7993 | Wall Street Target Price 38.7 |
Using Pet Valu hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pet Valu Holdings from the perspective of Pet Valu response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Pet Valu Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 28.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.63 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.54. Pet Valu after-hype prediction price | CAD 29.25 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Pet |
Pet Valu Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Pet price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pet using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pet charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Pet Valu 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 20th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Pet Valu Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 28.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.63, mean absolute percentage error of 0.53, and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.54.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pet Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pet Valu's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Pet Valu Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Pet Valu | Pet Valu Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Pet Valu Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Pet Valu's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pet Valu's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 27.01 and 30.09, respectively. We have considered Pet Valu's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pet Valu stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pet Valu stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 82.5528 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0068 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.632 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0222 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 26.545 |
Predictive Modules for Pet Valu
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pet Valu Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Pet Valu After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Pet Valu at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Pet Valu or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Pet Valu, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Pet Valu Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Pet Valu's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Pet Valu's historical news coverage. Pet Valu's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 27.72 and 30.78, respectively. We have considered Pet Valu's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Pet Valu is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Pet Valu Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Pet Valu Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Pet Valu is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pet Valu backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Pet Valu, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 1.54 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 8 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
29.27 | 29.25 | 0.07 |
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Pet Valu Hype Timeline
Pet Valu Holdings is at this time traded for 29.27on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Pet is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 29.25. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -0.07%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Pet Valu is about 781.73%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 29.28. About 72.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company last dividend was issued on the 28th of November 2025. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pet Valu to cross-verify your projections.Pet Valu Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Pet Valu's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Pet Valu's future price movements. Getting to know how Pet Valu's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Pet Valu may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LNF | Leons Furniture Limited | 0.03 | 4 per month | 1.50 | (0.01) | 1.80 | (2.12) | 9.71 | |
| WPK | Winpak | 1.00 | 5 per month | 0.54 | 0.16 | 2.47 | (1.36) | 4.83 | |
| RCH | Richelieu Hardware | (0.14) | 8 per month | 0.58 | 0.20 | 2.53 | (1.44) | 4.98 | |
| TOY | Spin Master Corp | (0.25) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 2.93 | (2.93) | 8.23 | |
| GOOS | Canada Goose Holdings | (0.19) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.68 | (4.83) | 24.28 | |
| NFI | NFI Group | 0.26 | 7 per month | 1.09 | 0.20 | 4.20 | (1.98) | 16.03 | |
| GBT | BMTC Group | (0.36) | 9 per month | 2.00 | 0.01 | 4.57 | (3.61) | 12.69 | |
| AW | A W FOOD | 0.85 | 3 per month | 1.08 | (0.02) | 1.92 | (1.89) | 5.29 | |
| KITS | Kits Eyecare | 0.30 | 6 per month | 2.16 | 0.15 | 6.66 | (3.53) | 18.46 | |
| MTY | MTY Food Group | 0.47 | 4 per month | 1.50 | 0.12 | 3.97 | (2.22) | 21.02 |
Other Forecasting Options for Pet Valu
For every potential investor in Pet, whether a beginner or expert, Pet Valu's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pet Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pet. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pet Valu's price trends.Pet Valu Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pet Valu stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pet Valu could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pet Valu by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Pet Valu Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pet Valu stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pet Valu shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pet Valu stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Pet Valu Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Pet Valu Risk Indicators
The analysis of Pet Valu's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pet Valu's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pet stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.14 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.2 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.49 | |||
| Variance | 2.22 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.61 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.43 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.35) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Pet Valu
The number of cover stories for Pet Valu depends on current market conditions and Pet Valu's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Pet Valu is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Pet Valu's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Pet Valu Short Properties
Pet Valu's future price predictability will typically decrease when Pet Valu's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Pet Valu Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Pet Valu's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pet Valu's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 72.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 35.1 M |
Other Information on Investing in Pet Stock
Pet Valu financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pet Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pet with respect to the benefits of owning Pet Valu security.