Touchstone Exploration Pink Sheet Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing

Touchstone Exploration Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Touchstone price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Touchstone using various technical indicators. When you analyze Touchstone charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. Triple exponential smoothing for Touchstone Exploration - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Touchstone Exploration prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Touchstone Exploration price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Touchstone Exploration.

Touchstone Exploration Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 31st of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Touchstone Exploration on the next trading day is expected to be 0.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0001, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.30.

Touchstone Exploration Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Touchstone Exploration Price Prediction

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Touchstone Exploration Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Touchstone Exploration pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Touchstone Exploration pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Touchstone Exploration observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Touchstone Exploration observations.

Predictive Modules for Touchstone Exploration

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Touchstone Exploration. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 0.01 0.13 8.19 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 0.01 0.11 8.17 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 0.09 0.13 0.16 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Touchstone Exploration. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Touchstone Exploration's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Touchstone Exploration's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Touchstone Exploration.

Touchstone Exploration After-Hype Price Density Analysis

Touchstone Exploration Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Touchstone Exploration Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

Touchstone Exploration Hype Timeline

Touchstone Exploration is at this time traded for 0.13. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Touchstone is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Touchstone Exploration is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.13. The book value of the company was at this time reported as 0.32. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Touchstone Exploration had 1:2 split on the 20th of May 2014. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Touchstone Exploration to cross-verify your projections.

Touchstone Exploration Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Touchstone Exploration

For every potential investor in Touchstone, whether a beginner or expert, Touchstone Exploration's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Touchstone Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Touchstone. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Touchstone Exploration's price trends.

Touchstone Exploration Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Touchstone Exploration Market Strength Events

Touchstone Exploration Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for Touchstone Exploration

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