OS Therapies Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average
| OSTX Stock | 1.47 0.03 2.00% |
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of OS Therapies Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 1.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.27. OSTX Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the rsi of OS Therapies' share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.18) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.69) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.33) | Wall Street Target Price 11.488 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.12) |
Using OS Therapies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of OS Therapies Incorporated from the perspective of OS Therapies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of OS Therapies Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 1.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.27. OS Therapies after-hype prediction price | USD 1.47 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of OS Therapies to cross-verify your projections. OS Therapies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine OSTX price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for OSTX using various technical indicators. When you analyze OSTX charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
OS Therapies 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of OS Therapies Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 1.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.27.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict OSTX Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that OS Therapies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
OS Therapies Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest OS Therapies | OS Therapies Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
OS Therapies Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting OS Therapies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. OS Therapies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 5.48, respectively. We have considered OS Therapies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of OS Therapies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent OS Therapies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 101.0382 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0293 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0976 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.059 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.27 |
Predictive Modules for OS Therapies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OS Therapies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of OS Therapies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
OS Therapies After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of OS Therapies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in OS Therapies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of OS Therapies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
OS Therapies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting OS Therapies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on OS Therapies' historical news coverage. OS Therapies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.07 and 5.47, respectively. We have considered OS Therapies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
OS Therapies is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of OS Therapies is based on 3 months time horizon.
OS Therapies Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as OS Therapies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading OS Therapies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with OS Therapies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.39 | 4.00 | 0.01 | 0.24 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.47 | 1.47 | 0.00 |
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OS Therapies Hype Timeline
OS Therapies is now traded for 1.47. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.24. OSTX is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.39%. %. The volatility of related hype on OS Therapies is about 647.25%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.23. About 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.81. OS Therapies had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of OS Therapies to cross-verify your projections.OS Therapies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to OS Therapies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict OS Therapies' future price movements. Getting to know how OS Therapies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how OS Therapies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SPRB | Spruce Biosciences Common | (2.93) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 10.15 | (9.96) | 31.24 | |
| HOWL | Werewolf Therapeutics | 0.01 | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 8.70 | (8.00) | 51.99 | |
| OTLK | OUTLOOK THERAPEUTICS INC | 0.04 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 11.32 | (11.11) | 73.07 | |
| IOBT | IO Biotech | (0.18) | 6 per month | 12.30 | 0.01 | 20.93 | (14.71) | 85.37 | |
| CRVO | CervoMed | (1.10) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 6.31 | (5.54) | 17.75 | |
| INKT | Mink Therapeutics | (0.18) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.79 | (5.82) | 19.87 | |
| EQ | Equillium | (0.18) | 12 per month | 6.60 | 0.01 | 19.26 | (12.50) | 43.07 | |
| COEP | Coeptis Therapeutics | (0.18) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 7.44 | (6.12) | 22.14 | |
| ADAG | Adagene | (0.18) | 6 per month | 5.33 | 0.05 | 8.79 | (8.59) | 23.40 | |
| NRXP | NRX Pharmaceuticals | (1.30) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 7.34 | (8.02) | 21.29 |
Other Forecasting Options for OS Therapies
For every potential investor in OSTX, whether a beginner or expert, OS Therapies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. OSTX Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in OSTX. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying OS Therapies' price trends.OS Therapies Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with OS Therapies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of OS Therapies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing OS Therapies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
OS Therapies Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how OS Therapies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading OS Therapies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying OS Therapies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify OS Therapies Incorporated entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 12040.44 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.50) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.47 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.47 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.03) |
OS Therapies Risk Indicators
The analysis of OS Therapies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in OS Therapies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ostx stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.19 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.93 | |||
| Variance | 15.43 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for OS Therapies
The number of cover stories for OS Therapies depends on current market conditions and OS Therapies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that OS Therapies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about OS Therapies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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OS Therapies Short Properties
OS Therapies' future price predictability will typically decrease when OS Therapies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of OS Therapies Incorporated often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential OS Therapies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. OS Therapies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 20.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.5 M |
Additional Tools for OSTX Stock Analysis
When running OS Therapies' price analysis, check to measure OS Therapies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy OS Therapies is operating at the current time. Most of OS Therapies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of OS Therapies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move OS Therapies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of OS Therapies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.