NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

NTCL Stock   1.09  0.01  0.93%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY INC on the next trading day is expected to be 1.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.17. NETCLASS Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY fundamentals over time.
At this time, NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY's Payables Turnover is quite stable compared to the past year. Receivables Turnover is expected to rise to 2.53 this year, although the value of Inventory Turnover will most likely fall to 7.12. . The value of Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to slide to about 16.7 M.

NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY Cash Forecast

To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY's financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
369.6 K
Current Value
398.7 K
Quarterly Volatility
190.4 K
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY INC value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 6th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY INC on the next trading day is expected to be 1.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.17.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict NETCLASS Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest NETCLASS TECHNOLOGYNETCLASS TECHNOLOGY Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 5.00, respectively. We have considered NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.09
1.05
Expected Value
5.00
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.8506
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0356
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0282
SAESum of the absolute errors2.1733
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY INC. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY INC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.115.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.051.004.96
Details

Other Forecasting Options for NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY

For every potential investor in NETCLASS, whether a beginner or expert, NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. NETCLASS Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in NETCLASS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY's price trends.

NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY INC Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY's current price.

NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY stock market strength indicators, traders can identify NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY INC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY Risk Indicators

The analysis of NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting netclass stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY INC is a strong investment it is important to analyze NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding NETCLASS Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Is Diversified Consumer Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY. If investors know NETCLASS will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.26)
Revenue Per Share
0.611
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.03)
Return On Assets
(0.49)
Return On Equity
(0.92)
The market value of NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY INC is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of NETCLASS that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.