Insight Enterprises Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

A naive forecasting model for Insight Enterprises is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Insight Enterprises value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Insight Enterprises Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 20th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Insight Enterprises on the next trading day is expected to be 152.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.17, mean absolute percentage error of 28.84, and the sum of the absolute errors of 254.25.

Insight Enterprises Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Insight Enterprises

Insight Enterprises Price Prediction

Buy or Sell Advice

Insight Enterprises Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Insight Enterprises stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Insight Enterprises stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Insight Enterprises. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Insight Enterprises. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Insight Enterprises

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Insight Enterprises. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 146.21 148.73 151.25 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 130.98 133.50 165.00 Details

5 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 140.60 154.50 171.50 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High 2.38 2.39 2.39 Details

Other Forecasting Options for Insight Enterprises

For every potential investor in Insight, whether a beginner or expert, Insight Enterprises' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Insight Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Insight. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Insight Enterprises' price trends.

Insight Enterprises Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Insight Enterprises Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Insight Enterprises' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Insight Enterprises' current price.

Insight Enterprises Market Strength Events

Insight Enterprises Risk Indicators

Additional Tools for Insight Stock Analysis