Voya Midcap Mutual Fund Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average
| NMCIX Fund | USD 23.78 0.18 0.75% |
Voya Mutual Fund outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Voya Midcap's share price is at 58. This indicates that the mutual fund is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Voya Midcap, making its price go up or down. Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Voya Midcap hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Voya Midcap Opportunities from the perspective of Voya Midcap response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Voya Midcap Opportunities on the next trading day is expected to be 20.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.89. Voya Midcap after-hype prediction price | USD 23.78 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Voya |
Voya Midcap Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Voya price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Voya using various technical indicators. When you analyze Voya charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Voya Midcap 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Voya Midcap Opportunities on the next trading day is expected to be 23.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34, mean absolute percentage error of 0.34, and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.10.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Voya Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Voya Midcap's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Voya Midcap Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Voya Midcap | Voya Midcap Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Voya Midcap Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Voya Midcap's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Voya Midcap's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.89 and 25.84, respectively. We have considered Voya Midcap's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Voya Midcap mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Voya Midcap mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 109.682 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1279 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.335 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0152 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 19.0975 |
Predictive Modules for Voya Midcap
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Voya Midcap Opportunities. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Voya Midcap After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Voya Midcap at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Voya Midcap or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Voya Midcap, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Voya Midcap Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Voya Midcap's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Voya Midcap's historical news coverage. Voya Midcap's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.81 and 25.75, respectively. We have considered Voya Midcap's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Voya Midcap is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Voya Midcap Opportunities is based on 3 months time horizon.
Voya Midcap Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Voya Midcap is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Voya Midcap backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Voya Midcap, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 1.97 | 0.00 | 0.84 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
23.78 | 23.78 | 0.00 |
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Voya Midcap Hype Timeline
Voya Midcap Opportunities is now traded for 23.78. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.84. Voya is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.18%. %. The volatility of related hype on Voya Midcap is about 42.22%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.62. The company last dividend was issued on the 16th of December 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Voya Midcap to cross-verify your projections.Voya Midcap Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Voya Midcap's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Voya Midcap's future price movements. Getting to know how Voya Midcap's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Voya Midcap may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MBSAX | Multisector Bond Sma | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.08 | (0.09) | 0.37 | (0.44) | 2.24 | |
| TIMTX | Transamerica Intermediate Muni | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.55) | 0.19 | (0.09) | 0.56 | |
| BIDPX | Ishares Municipal Bond | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.68) | 0.27 | (0.09) | 0.64 | |
| SNCAX | California Municipal Portfolio | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.12 | (0.67) | 0.16 | (0.28) | 0.52 | |
| TBGAX | Georgia Tax Free Bond | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.53) | 0.18 | (0.18) | 0.83 | |
| PRINX | T Rowe Price | (0.01) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.55) | 0.18 | (0.18) | 0.89 | |
| PRFHX | T Rowe Price | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.47) | 0.27 | (0.18) | 0.81 | |
| TFBIX | Maryland Tax Free Bond | 37.34 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.60) | 0.20 | (0.10) | 0.69 |
Other Forecasting Options for Voya Midcap
For every potential investor in Voya, whether a beginner or expert, Voya Midcap's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Voya Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Voya. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Voya Midcap's price trends.Voya Midcap Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Voya Midcap mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Voya Midcap could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Voya Midcap by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Voya Midcap Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Voya Midcap mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Voya Midcap shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Voya Midcap mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Voya Midcap Opportunities entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 23.78 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 23.78 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.09) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.18) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 58.7 |
Voya Midcap Risk Indicators
The analysis of Voya Midcap's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Voya Midcap's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting voya mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.05 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9673 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.97 | |||
| Variance | 3.89 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.4 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.9357 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.30) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Voya Midcap
The number of cover stories for Voya Midcap depends on current market conditions and Voya Midcap's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Voya Midcap is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Voya Midcap's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Voya Mutual Fund
Voya Midcap financial ratios help investors to determine whether Voya Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Voya with respect to the benefits of owning Voya Midcap security.
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