Mayr-Melnhof Karton Pink Sheet Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

MNHFF Stock  USD 72.00  0.00  0.00%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Mayr Melnhof Karton AG on the next trading day is expected to be 72.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Mayr-Melnhof Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Mayr-Melnhof Karton's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 24th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Mayr-Melnhof Karton's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Mayr-Melnhof Karton's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Mayr-Melnhof Karton and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Mayr-Melnhof Karton's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Mayr Melnhof Karton AG, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Mayr-Melnhof Karton hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mayr Melnhof Karton AG from the perspective of Mayr-Melnhof Karton response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Mayr Melnhof Karton AG on the next trading day is expected to be 72.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.

Mayr-Melnhof Karton after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 72.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mayr-Melnhof Karton to cross-verify your projections.

Mayr-Melnhof Karton Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Mayr-Melnhof price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mayr-Melnhof using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mayr-Melnhof charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A four-period moving average forecast model for Mayr Melnhof Karton AG is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Mayr-Melnhof Karton 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Mayr Melnhof Karton AG on the next trading day is expected to be 72.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mayr-Melnhof Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mayr-Melnhof Karton's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Mayr-Melnhof Karton Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Mayr-Melnhof KartonMayr-Melnhof Karton Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Mayr-Melnhof Karton Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Mayr-Melnhof Karton's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mayr-Melnhof Karton's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 72.00 and 72.00, respectively. We have considered Mayr-Melnhof Karton's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
72.00
72.00
Expected Value
72.00
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mayr-Melnhof Karton pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mayr-Melnhof Karton pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria-9.223372036854776E14
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Mayr-Melnhof Karton. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Mayr Melnhof Karton AG and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Mayr-Melnhof Karton

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mayr Melnhof Karton. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
72.0072.0072.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
72.0072.0072.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
72.0072.0072.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mayr-Melnhof Karton. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mayr-Melnhof Karton's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mayr-Melnhof Karton's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mayr Melnhof Karton.

Mayr-Melnhof Karton After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Mayr-Melnhof Karton at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mayr-Melnhof Karton or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Mayr-Melnhof Karton, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Mayr-Melnhof Karton Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Mayr-Melnhof Karton's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mayr-Melnhof Karton's historical news coverage. Mayr-Melnhof Karton's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 72.00 and 72.00, respectively. We have considered Mayr-Melnhof Karton's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
72.00
72.00
After-hype Price
72.00
Upside
Mayr-Melnhof Karton is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mayr Melnhof Karton is based on 3 months time horizon.

Mayr-Melnhof Karton Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Mayr-Melnhof Karton is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mayr-Melnhof Karton backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mayr-Melnhof Karton, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
72.00
72.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Mayr-Melnhof Karton Hype Timeline

Mayr Melnhof Karton is now traded for 72.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Mayr-Melnhof is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Mayr-Melnhof Karton is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 72.00. About 57.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.75. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Mayr Melnhof Karton recorded earning per share (EPS) of 11.4. The entity last dividend was issued on the 3rd of May 2022. The firm had 2:1 split on the 16th of July 2007. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mayr-Melnhof Karton to cross-verify your projections.

Mayr-Melnhof Karton Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Mayr-Melnhof Karton's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mayr-Melnhof Karton's future price movements. Getting to know how Mayr-Melnhof Karton's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mayr-Melnhof Karton may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
WIPKFWinpak 0.00 0 per month 0.65  0.08  1.60 (0.64) 11.89 
ORRYYOrora Ltd ADR 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.1  0.00  0.00  23.47 
ORRAFOrora Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ELUXYElectrolux AB Class(0.01)6 per month 2.17  0.07  4.64 (3.11) 18.10 
GMALYGenting Malaysia Bhd 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.08  0.00  0.00  12.46 
RNDOFRound One 0.00 0 per month 12.06  0.09  6.00 (16.44) 232.75 
WEBJFWebjet Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
GPGNFGrupo Gigante S 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
SHALFShangri La Asia Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
XTPEFXtep International Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.01) 9.23 (4.55) 28.94 

Other Forecasting Options for Mayr-Melnhof Karton

For every potential investor in Mayr-Melnhof, whether a beginner or expert, Mayr-Melnhof Karton's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mayr-Melnhof Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mayr-Melnhof. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mayr-Melnhof Karton's price trends.

Mayr-Melnhof Karton Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mayr-Melnhof Karton pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mayr-Melnhof Karton could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mayr-Melnhof Karton by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Mayr-Melnhof Karton Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mayr-Melnhof Karton pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mayr-Melnhof Karton shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mayr-Melnhof Karton pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Mayr Melnhof Karton AG entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for Mayr-Melnhof Karton

The number of cover stories for Mayr-Melnhof Karton depends on current market conditions and Mayr-Melnhof Karton's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Mayr-Melnhof Karton is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Mayr-Melnhof Karton's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Mayr-Melnhof Karton Short Properties

Mayr-Melnhof Karton's future price predictability will typically decrease when Mayr-Melnhof Karton's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Mayr Melnhof Karton AG often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Mayr-Melnhof Karton's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mayr-Melnhof Karton's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding20 M
Short Long Term Debt63.2 M

Other Information on Investing in Mayr-Melnhof Pink Sheet

Mayr-Melnhof Karton financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mayr-Melnhof Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mayr-Melnhof with respect to the benefits of owning Mayr-Melnhof Karton security.