Medmix AG Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

MEDX Stock   10.52  0.02  0.19%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of medmix AG on the next trading day is expected to be 10.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.73. Medmix Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Medmix AG is based on an artificially constructed time series of Medmix AG daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Medmix AG 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 5th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of medmix AG on the next trading day is expected to be 10.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44, mean absolute percentage error of 0.33, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.52.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Medmix Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Medmix AG's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Medmix AG Stock Forecast Pattern

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Medmix AG Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Medmix AG's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Medmix AG's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.97 and 12.59, respectively. We have considered Medmix AG's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
10.52
10.28
Expected Value
12.59
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Medmix AG stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Medmix AG stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria102.31
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0362
MADMean absolute deviation0.4438
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0471
SAESum of the absolute errors23.5213
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. medmix AG 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Medmix AG

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as medmix AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.2110.5212.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.669.9712.29
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Medmix AG

For every potential investor in Medmix, whether a beginner or expert, Medmix AG's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Medmix Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Medmix. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Medmix AG's price trends.

Medmix AG Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Medmix AG stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Medmix AG could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Medmix AG by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

medmix AG Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Medmix AG's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Medmix AG's current price.

Medmix AG Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Medmix AG stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Medmix AG shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Medmix AG stock market strength indicators, traders can identify medmix AG entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Medmix AG Risk Indicators

The analysis of Medmix AG's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Medmix AG's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting medmix stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Medmix Stock Analysis

When running Medmix AG's price analysis, check to measure Medmix AG's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Medmix AG is operating at the current time. Most of Medmix AG's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Medmix AG's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Medmix AG's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Medmix AG to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.