Lifezone Metals Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| LZM Stock | 5.88 0.09 1.55% |
Lifezone Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The value of RSI of Lifezone Metals' stock price is about 63. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of now. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Lifezone, making its price go up or down. Momentum 63
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Lifezone Metals hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lifezone Metals Limited from the perspective of Lifezone Metals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Lifezone Metals Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 5.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.17. Lifezone Metals after-hype prediction price | USD 5.88 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lifezone Metals to cross-verify your projections. Lifezone Metals Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lifezone price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lifezone using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lifezone charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Lifezone Metals Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Lifezone Metals Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 5.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41, mean absolute percentage error of 0.24, and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.17.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lifezone Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lifezone Metals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Lifezone Metals Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Lifezone Metals | Lifezone Metals Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Lifezone Metals Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Lifezone Metals' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lifezone Metals' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.37 and 9.60, respectively. We have considered Lifezone Metals' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lifezone Metals stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lifezone Metals stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.676 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4126 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0939 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 25.1694 |
Predictive Modules for Lifezone Metals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lifezone Metals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lifezone Metals After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lifezone Metals at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lifezone Metals or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lifezone Metals, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lifezone Metals Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lifezone Metals' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lifezone Metals' historical news coverage. Lifezone Metals' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.77 and 9.99, respectively. We have considered Lifezone Metals' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lifezone Metals is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lifezone Metals is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lifezone Metals Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lifezone Metals is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lifezone Metals backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lifezone Metals, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.36 | 4.11 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
5.88 | 5.88 | 0.00 |
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Lifezone Metals Hype Timeline
On the 29th of January Lifezone Metals is traded for 5.88. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Lifezone is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.36%. %. The volatility of related hype on Lifezone Metals is about 19571.43%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.89. About 62.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.53. Lifezone Metals had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:1 split on the 6th of July 2023. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lifezone Metals to cross-verify your projections.Lifezone Metals Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lifezone Metals' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lifezone Metals' future price movements. Getting to know how Lifezone Metals' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lifezone Metals may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IONR | ioneer Ltd American | 0.21 | 2 per month | 4.49 | 0.04 | 8.75 | (7.02) | 19.58 | |
| WRN | Western Copper and | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.02 | 0.26 | 8.21 | (4.73) | 19.93 | |
| EMX | EMX Royalty Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.07 | 3.97 | (5.45) | 6.19 | |
| ASTL | Algoma Steel Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.56 | 0.04 | 7.14 | (5.51) | 18.39 | |
| RYAM | Rayonier Advanced Materials | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.95 | 0.06 | 6.38 | (5.15) | 28.05 | |
| ODV | Osisko Development Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.92 | 0.11 | 6.65 | (4.53) | 15.32 | |
| DVS | Dolly Varden Silver | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.26 | 0.13 | 8.09 | (5.98) | 22.76 | |
| ADUR | Aduro Clean Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.09 | 0.02 | 12.11 | (6.79) | 24.03 | |
| VHI | Valhi Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.22 | 0.01 | 7.75 | (4.64) | 16.93 | |
| WWR | Westwater Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 11.82 | (11.02) | 28.86 |
Other Forecasting Options for Lifezone Metals
For every potential investor in Lifezone, whether a beginner or expert, Lifezone Metals' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lifezone Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lifezone. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lifezone Metals' price trends.Lifezone Metals Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lifezone Metals stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lifezone Metals could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lifezone Metals by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Lifezone Metals Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lifezone Metals stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lifezone Metals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lifezone Metals stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lifezone Metals Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Lifezone Metals Risk Indicators
The analysis of Lifezone Metals' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lifezone Metals' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lifezone stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.99 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.58 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.11 | |||
| Variance | 16.91 | |||
| Downside Variance | 15.12 | |||
| Semi Variance | 12.81 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.40) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Lifezone Metals
The number of cover stories for Lifezone Metals depends on current market conditions and Lifezone Metals' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lifezone Metals is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lifezone Metals' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Lifezone Metals Short Properties
Lifezone Metals' future price predictability will typically decrease when Lifezone Metals' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lifezone Metals Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lifezone Metals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lifezone Metals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 78.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 29.3 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lifezone Metals to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Will Stock sector continue expanding? Could Lifezone diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lifezone Metals. Expected growth trajectory for Lifezone significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Lifezone Metals data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
The market value of Lifezone Metals is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lifezone that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lifezone Metals' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lifezone Metals' true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Lifezone Metals' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lifezone Metals' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Lifezone Metals' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Lifezone Metals represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Lifezone Metals' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.