Larimar Therapeutics Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

LRMR Stock  USD 7.76  0.09  1.15%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Larimar Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 6.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.46 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.78. Larimar Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Larimar Therapeutics' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Larimar Therapeutics' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Larimar Therapeutics fundamentals over time.
  
As of 10/20/2024, Payables Turnover is likely to grow to 0.25, while Inventory Turnover is likely to drop (1.89). . As of 10/20/2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to grow to about 46.1 M, while Net Loss is likely to drop (42.7 M).
Most investors in Larimar Therapeutics cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Larimar Therapeutics' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Larimar Therapeutics' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the accuracy of the generated results. Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Larimar Therapeutics price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Larimar Therapeutics Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 21st of October

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Larimar Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 6.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.46, mean absolute percentage error of 0.31, and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.78.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Larimar Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Larimar Therapeutics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Larimar Therapeutics Stock Forecast Pattern

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Larimar Therapeutics Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Larimar Therapeutics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Larimar Therapeutics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.09 and 11.31, respectively. We have considered Larimar Therapeutics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
7.76
6.70
Expected Value
11.31
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Larimar Therapeutics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Larimar Therapeutics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.9433
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.4554
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0616
SAESum of the absolute errors27.7768
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Larimar Therapeutics historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Larimar Therapeutics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Larimar Therapeutics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Larimar Therapeutics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.057.6612.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.749.3513.96
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
11.2712.3813.74
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Larimar Therapeutics. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Larimar Therapeutics' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Larimar Therapeutics' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Larimar Therapeutics.

Other Forecasting Options for Larimar Therapeutics

For every potential investor in Larimar, whether a beginner or expert, Larimar Therapeutics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Larimar Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Larimar. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Larimar Therapeutics' price trends.

View Larimar Therapeutics Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Larimar Therapeutics Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Larimar Therapeutics' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Larimar Therapeutics' current price.

Larimar Therapeutics Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Larimar Therapeutics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Larimar Therapeutics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Larimar Therapeutics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Larimar Therapeutics entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Larimar Therapeutics Risk Indicators

The analysis of Larimar Therapeutics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Larimar Therapeutics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting larimar stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Larimar Therapeutics

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Larimar Therapeutics position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Larimar Therapeutics will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Larimar Stock

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Moving against Larimar Stock

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  0.45GNFT GenfitPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Larimar Therapeutics could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Larimar Therapeutics when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Larimar Therapeutics - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Larimar Therapeutics to buy it.
The correlation of Larimar Therapeutics is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Larimar Therapeutics moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Larimar Therapeutics moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Larimar Therapeutics can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Larimar Stock Analysis

When running Larimar Therapeutics' price analysis, check to measure Larimar Therapeutics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Larimar Therapeutics is operating at the current time. Most of Larimar Therapeutics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Larimar Therapeutics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Larimar Therapeutics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Larimar Therapeutics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.