Luminar Media Pink Sheet Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average
| LRGR Stock | USD 0.60 0.12 16.67% |
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Luminar Media Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.66. Luminar Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Luminar Media's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Luminar Media hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Luminar Media Group from the perspective of Luminar Media response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Luminar Media Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.66. Luminar Media after-hype prediction price | USD 0.6 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Luminar |
Luminar Media Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Luminar price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Luminar using various technical indicators. When you analyze Luminar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Luminar Media 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Luminar Media Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.66.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Luminar Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Luminar Media's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Luminar Media Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Luminar Media | Luminar Media Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Luminar Media Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Luminar Media's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Luminar Media's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 10.66, respectively. We have considered Luminar Media's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Luminar Media pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Luminar Media pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 106.9047 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0101 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0458 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0888 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.6575 |
Predictive Modules for Luminar Media
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Luminar Media Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Luminar Media After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Luminar Media at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Luminar Media or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Luminar Media, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Luminar Media Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Luminar Media's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Luminar Media's historical news coverage. Luminar Media's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 10.60, respectively. We have considered Luminar Media's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Luminar Media is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Luminar Media Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Luminar Media Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Luminar Media is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Luminar Media backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Luminar Media, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.14 | 10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.60 | 0.60 | 0.00 |
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Luminar Media Hype Timeline
Luminar Media Group is now traded for 0.60. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Luminar is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 1.14%. %. The volatility of related hype on Luminar Media is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.60. The company recorded a loss per share of 6.79. Luminar Media Group last dividend was issued on the 18th of December 2017. The entity had 1:40 split on the 18th of December 2017. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Luminar Media to cross-verify your projections.Luminar Media Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Luminar Media's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Luminar Media's future price movements. Getting to know how Luminar Media's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Luminar Media may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| XCPT | XCana Petroleum | 0.00 | 0 per month | 13.15 | 0.06 | 53.33 | (34.78) | 113.33 | |
| AOGO | Arogo Capital Acquisition | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 83.33 | |
| ARGC | Arion Group Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CAHO | Caro Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.57 | (3.77) | 20.00 | |
| MDWK | MDwerks | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.58 | 0.14 | 40.74 | (9.09) | 156.82 | |
| AVNI | Arvana Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.54 | 0.02 | 0.00 | (14.29) | 106.06 | |
| PCMC | Public Company Management | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 184.82 | |
| ACCFF | Accord Financial Corp | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 30.99 | |
| VWFB | VWF Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.75 | 0.03 | 1.98 | (1.85) | 6.50 | |
| IGTA | Inception Growth Acquisition | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.1 | 7.15 | (2.50) | 253.71 |
Other Forecasting Options for Luminar Media
For every potential investor in Luminar, whether a beginner or expert, Luminar Media's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Luminar Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Luminar. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Luminar Media's price trends.Luminar Media Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Luminar Media pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Luminar Media could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Luminar Media by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Luminar Media Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Luminar Media pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Luminar Media shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Luminar Media pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Luminar Media Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1051.7 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.33) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.83 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.65 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.63 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.10) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.12) |
Luminar Media Risk Indicators
The analysis of Luminar Media's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Luminar Media's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting luminar pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 7.72 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 7.17 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 10.15 | |||
| Variance | 103.08 | |||
| Downside Variance | 69.99 | |||
| Semi Variance | 51.44 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (11.22) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Luminar Media
The number of cover stories for Luminar Media depends on current market conditions and Luminar Media's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Luminar Media is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Luminar Media's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Luminar Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Luminar Media's price analysis, check to measure Luminar Media's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Luminar Media is operating at the current time. Most of Luminar Media's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Luminar Media's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Luminar Media's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Luminar Media to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.