LPTX Old Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

LPTXDelisted Stock  USD 2.05  1.44  236.07%   
LPTX Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time The value of RSI of LPTX Old's share price is above 80 . This indicates that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of LPTX Old's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with LPTX Old, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using LPTX Old hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of LPTX Old from the perspective of LPTX Old response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of LPTX Old on the next trading day is expected to be 2.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.96.

LPTX Old after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 2.32  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in producer price index.

LPTX Old Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine LPTX price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for LPTX using various technical indicators. When you analyze LPTX charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for LPTX Old is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of LPTX Old value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

LPTX Old Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of LPTX Old on the next trading day is expected to be 2.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.96.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict LPTX Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that LPTX Old's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

LPTX Old Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest LPTX Old  LPTX Old Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of LPTX Old stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent LPTX Old stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.4123
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0977
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.2081
SAESum of the absolute errors5.9577
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of LPTX Old. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict LPTX Old. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for LPTX Old

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LPTX Old. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LPTX Old's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.122.32207.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.42206.42
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
-0.250.621.49
Details

LPTX Old After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of LPTX Old at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in LPTX Old or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of LPTX Old, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

LPTX Old Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting LPTX Old's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on LPTX Old's historical news coverage. LPTX Old's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.12 and 207.32, respectively. We have considered LPTX Old's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2.05
2.32
After-hype Price
207.32
Upside
LPTX Old is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of LPTX Old is based on 3 months time horizon.

LPTX Old Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as LPTX Old is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading LPTX Old backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with LPTX Old, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  26.84 
102.00
  0.27 
  3.36 
9 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.05
2.32
13.17 
1,020,000  
Notes

LPTX Old Hype Timeline

LPTX Old is now traded for 2.05. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.27, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -3.36. LPTX is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 2.32 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 13.17%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 26.84%. The volatility of related hype on LPTX Old is about 81600.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -1.31. LPTX Old currently holds 266 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.01, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. LPTX Old has a current ratio of 8.7, suggesting that it is liquid enough and is able to pay its financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about LPTX Old's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in producer price index.

LPTX Old Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to LPTX Old's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict LPTX Old's future price movements. Getting to know how LPTX Old's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how LPTX Old may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

LPTX Old Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with LPTX Old stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of LPTX Old could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing LPTX Old by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

LPTX Old Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how LPTX Old stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading LPTX Old shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying LPTX Old stock market strength indicators, traders can identify LPTX Old entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

LPTX Old Risk Indicators

The analysis of LPTX Old's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in LPTX Old's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lptx stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for LPTX Old

The number of cover stories for LPTX Old depends on current market conditions and LPTX Old's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that LPTX Old is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about LPTX Old's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

LPTX Old Short Properties

LPTX Old's future price predictability will typically decrease when LPTX Old's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of LPTX Old often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential LPTX Old's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LPTX Old's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding37.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments47.2 M
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in producer price index.
You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

Other Consideration for investing in LPTX Stock

If you are still planning to invest in LPTX Old check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the LPTX Old's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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